Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33103718›Full record

ArticleThe journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences2021

Frailty Changes Predict Mortality in 4 Longitudinal Studies of Aging.

Erwin Stolz, Emiel O Hoogendijk, Hannes Mayerl, Wolfgang Freidl

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
43citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

43 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Relative impact of multidomain lifestyle interventions on deficit accumulation frailty over 24 months in the U.S. POINTER trial.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2026
    Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Associations of summary measures of longitudinal frailty assessments with health outcomes.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2026
    Article
  8. Observational
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Short-term Frailty Index Fluctuations in Older Adults: Noise or Signal?The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2024
    Article
  19. Change in frailty among older COVID-19 survivors.Journal of the American Geriatrics Society · 2024
    Observational
  20. Trends in Memory Function and Memory Impairment Among Older Adults in the United States and Europe, 1996-2018.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Erwin StolzInstitute of Social Medicine and Epidemiology, Medical University of Graz, Austria.ORCID 0000-0001-7393-1568
Emiel O HoogendijkDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam UMC-Location VU University Medical Center, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-9660-5108
Hannes MayerlInstitute of Social Medicine and Epidemiology, Medical University of Graz, Austria.
Wolfgang FreidlInstitute of Social Medicine and Epidemiology, Medical University of Graz, Austria.

Funding

HRS Yrs29-34: Y33 SSA CoFundingU01AG009740 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Jessica Faul, KENNETH M LANGA · 1990 to 2026
$555.8M
Understanding and Improving Healthcare Decision-Making and Outcomes for People Living with Alzheimer's Disease and Related DementiasP01AG005842 · NIA · NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH · PI JOSEPH J DOYLE · 1986 to 2026
$56.5M
Project-001R01AG017644 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF LONDON INST OF NEUROLOGY · PI Andrew Steptoe · 2000 to 2026
$56.2M
WEALTH DISPARITIES AMONG MATURE AND OLDER ADULTSP01AG008291 · NIA · RAND CORPORATION · PI HURD, MICHAEL D · 1989 to 2018
$19.4M
RAND CENTER FOR THE STUDY OF AGINGP30AG012815 · NIA · RAND CORPORATION · PI HURD, MICHAEL D · 1999 to 2020
$13.7M
DEVELOPING AN ISRAELI VERSION OF THE HRS/SHARE PROJECTR21AG025169 · NIA · HEBREW UNIVERSITY OF JERUSALEM · PI LITWIN, HOWARD · 2004 to 2006
$297k
Department of HealthNIA NIH HHS HHSN271201300071CNIA NIH HHS NIA U01AG009740NIA NIH HHS P01 AG005842NIA NIH HHS P01 AG008291NIA NIH HHS P30 AG012815NIA NIH HHS R01 AG017644NIA NIH HHS R21 AG025169NIA NIH HHS U01 AG009740
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBaseline frailty index (FI) values have been shown to predict mortality among older adults, but little is known about the effects of changes in FI on mortality.

methodsIn a coordinated approach, we analyzed data from 4 population-based cohorts: the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE), the English Longitudinal Survey of Ageing (ELSA), and the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam (LASA), comprising a total of 24 961 respondents (65+), 95 897 observations, up to 9 repeated FI assessments, and up to 23 years of mortality follow-up. The effect of time-varying FI on mortality was modeled with joint regression models for longitudinal and time-to-event data.

resultsDifferences (of 0.01) in current FI levels (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.04, 95% credible interval [CI] = 1.03-1.05) and baseline FI levels (HR = 1.03, 95% CI = 1.03-1.05) were consistently associated with mortality across studies. Importantly, individuals with steeper FI growth also had a higher mortality risk: An increase in annual FI growth by 0.01 was associated with an increased mortality risk of HR = 1.56 (95% CI = 1.49-1.63) in HRS, HR = 1.24 (95% CI = 1.13-1.35) in SHARE, HR = 1.40 (95% CI = 1.25-1.52) in ELSA, and HR = 1.71 (95% CI = 1.46-2.01) in LASA.

conclusionsFI changes predicted mortality independently of baseline FI differences. Repeated assessment of frailty and individual's frailty trajectory could provide a means to anticipate further health deterioration and mortality and could thus support clinical decision making.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overEuropeFemaleFrail ElderlyFrailtyGeriatric AssessmentHumansLongitudinal StudiesMalePredictive Value of TestsEpidemiologyFrailtyMortalityPublic health

Identifiers

PMID33103718
PMCPMC8361367

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.