Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33098736›Full record

ArticleEcological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America2021

Latitudinal gradients in population growth do not reflect demographic responses to climate.

Megan L DeMarche, Graham Bailes, Lauren B Hendricks, Laurel Pfeifer-Meister, Paul B Reed, Scott D Bridgham, Bart R Johnson, Robert Shriver, Ellen Waddle, Hannah Wroton and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Tree rings reveal the transient risk of extinction hidden inside climate envelope forecasts.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  4. A species' response to spatial climatic variation does not predict its response to climate change.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Seed type and origin-dependent seedling emergence patterns inPlant-environment interactions (Hoboken, N.J.) · 2023
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Latitudinal gradients in population growth do not reflect demographic responses to climate.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Megan L DeMarchePlant Biology Department, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, 30606, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5010-2721
Graham BailesInstitute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon, 97403, USA.
Lauren B HendricksDepartment of Geography, University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon, 97403, USA.
Laurel Pfeifer-MeisterInstitute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon, 97403, USA.
Paul B ReedInstitute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon, 97403, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7143-7515
Scott D BridghamInstitute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon, 97403, USA.
Bart R JohnsonDepartment of Landscape Architecture, University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon, 97403, USA.
Robert ShriverDepartment of Natural Resources and Environmental Science, University of Nevada, Reno, Nevada, 89557, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4590-4834
Ellen WaddleEnvironmental Studies Program, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, Colorado, 80309, USA.
Hannah WrotonEcology and Evolutionary Biology Department, University of Colorado Boulder, Colorado, 80309, USA.
Daniel F DoakEnvironmental Studies Program, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, Colorado, 80309, USA.
Bitty A RoyInstitute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon, 97403, USA.
William F MorrisBiology Department, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, 27710, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Spatial gradients in population growth, such as across latitudinal or elevational gradients, are often assumed to primarily be driven by variation in climate, and are frequently used to infer species' responses to climate change. Here, we use a novel demographic, mixed-model approach to dissect the contributions of climate variables vs. other latitudinal or local site effects on spatiotemporal variation in population performance in three perennial bunchgrasses. For all three species, we find that performance of local populations decreases with warmer and drier conditions, despite latitudinal trends of decreasing population growth toward the cooler and wetter northern portion of each species' range. Thus, latitudinal gradients in performance are not predictive of either local or species-wide responses to climate. This pattern could be common, as many environmental drivers, such as habitat quality or species' interactions, are likely to vary with latitude or elevation, and thus influence or oppose climate responses.

Indexed as

Climate ChangePopulation GrowthEcosystemAchnatherum lemmoniiclimate changeDanthonia californicademographydistributionFestuca roemeriintegral projection modellatitudepopulation growthspace-for-time

Identifiers

PMID33098736
PMCPMC7988552

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.