Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33092651›Full record

ArticleInfectious diseases of poverty2020

Spatial and spatio-temporal analysis of malaria cases in Zimbabwe.

Isaiah Gwitira, Munashe Mukonoweshuro, Grace Mapako, Munyaradzi D Shekede, Joconiah Chirenda, Joseph Mberikunashe

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In one paragraph

Article in Infectious diseases of poverty, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Genomic epidemiology ofOne health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Isaiah GwitiraDepartment of Geography Geospatial Sciences and Earth Observation, University of Zimbabwe, P. O. Box MP 167, Mount Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe. gwitsakuely@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0156-8426
Munashe MukonoweshuroDepartment of Geography Geospatial Sciences and Earth Observation, University of Zimbabwe, P. O. Box MP 167, Mount Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Grace MapakoDepartment of Geography Geospatial Sciences and Earth Observation, University of Zimbabwe, P. O. Box MP 167, Mount Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Munyaradzi D ShekedeDepartment of Geography Geospatial Sciences and Earth Observation, University of Zimbabwe, P. O. Box MP 167, Mount Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Joconiah ChirendaDepartment of Community Medicine, University of Zimbabwe, 3rd Floor New Health Sciences Building, College of Health Sciences, P O Box A178, Avondale, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Joseph MberikunasheNational Malaria Control Program, Ministry of Health and Child Care, 4th Floor, Kaguvi Building, Central Avenue (Between 4th and 5th Street), Harare, Zimbabwe.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough effective treatment for malaria is now available, approximately half of the global population remain at risk of the disease particularly in developing countries. To design effective malaria control strategies there is need to understand the pattern of malaria heterogeneity in an area. Therefore, the main objective of this study was to explore the spatial and spatio-temporal pattern of malaria cases in Zimbabwe based on malaria data aggregated at district level from 2011 to 2016.

methodsGeographical information system (GIS) and spatial scan statistic were applied on passive malaria data collected from health facilities and aggregated at district level to detect existence of spatial clusters. The global Moran's I test was used to infer the presence of spatial autocorrelation while the purely spatial retrospective analyses were performed to detect the spatial clusters of malaria cases with high rates based on the discrete Poisson model. Furthermore, space-time clusters with high rates were detected through the retrospective space-time analysis based on the discrete Poisson model.

resultsResults showed that there is significant positive spatial autocorrelation in malaria cases in the study area. In addition, malaria exhibits spatial heterogeneity as evidenced by the existence of statistically significant (P < 0.05) spatial and space-time clusters of malaria in specific geographic regions. The detected primary clusters persisted in the eastern region of the study area over the six year study period while the temporal pattern of malaria reflected the seasonality of the disease where clusters were detected within particular months of the year.

conclusionsGeographic regions characterised by clusters of high rates were identified as malaria high risk areas. The results of this study could be useful in prioritizing resource allocation in high-risk areas for malaria control and elimination particularly in resource limited settings such as Zimbabwe. The results of this study are also useful to guide further investigation into the possible determinants of persistence of high clusters of malaria cases in particular geographic regions which is useful in reducing malaria burden in such areas.

Indexed as

HumansIncidenceMalariaSpatio-Temporal AnalysisZimbabweCluster analysisGISMalariaSaTscanSpatial heterogeneitySpatial patternZimbabwe

Identifiers

PMID33092651
PMCPMC7584089

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.