Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33082202›Full record

Trial reportCancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology2021

Assessing 10-Year Safety of a Single Negative HPV Test for Cervical Cancer Screening: Evidence from FOCAL-DECADE Cohort.

Anna Gottschlich, Dirk van Niekerk, Laurie W Smith, Lovedeep Gondara, Joy Melnikow, Darrel A Cook, Marette Lee, Gavin Stuart, Ruth E Martin, Stuart Peacock and 4 more

Open access · greenAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Human papillomavirus-based vs. cytology for cervical cancer screening: a systematic review with meta-analysis.Revista brasileira de ginecologia e obstetricia : revista da Federacao Brasileira das Sociedades de Ginecologia e Obstetricia · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Loop electrosurgical excision procedure and perinatal outcomes post-human papillomavirus cervical screening: A longitudinal cohort study.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Exploring the role of the oncology nurse in cervical cancer screening programs during times of transition.Canadian oncology nursing journal = Revue canadienne de nursing oncologique · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Evidence of Decreased Long-term Risk of Cervical Precancer after Negative Primary HPV Screens Compared with Negative Cytology Screens in a Longitudinal Cohort Study.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2024
    Article
  10. Review
  11. A New Brazilian Device for Cervical Cancer Screening: Acceptability and Accuracy of Self-sampling.Revista brasileira de ginecologia e obstetricia : revista da Federacao Brasileira das Sociedades de Ginecologia e Obstetricia · 2023
    Article
  12. Review
  13. Shifting from cytology to HPV testing for cervical cancer screening in Canada.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2022
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Anna GottschlichWomen's Health Research Institute, BC Women's Hospital and Health Service, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. anna.gottschlich@cw.bc.ca.ORCID 0000-0002-3095-2323
Dirk van NiekerkLower Mainland Laboratories, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Laurie W SmithWomen's Health Research Institute, BC Women's Hospital and Health Service, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Lovedeep GondaraCervical Cancer Screening Program, British Columbia Cancer Agency, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Joy MelnikowCenter for Healthcare Policy and Research, University of California Davis, Sacramento, California.ORCID 0000-0002-9963-6089
Darrel A CookCervical Cancer Screening Program, British Columbia Cancer Agency, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-1958-120X
Marette LeeCervical Cancer Screening Program, British Columbia Cancer Agency, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5771-1899
Gavin StuartFaculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Ruth E MartinFaculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-7592-3692
Stuart PeacockCancer Control Research, British Columbia Cancer Agency, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-8243-8721
Eduardo L FrancoDivision of Cancer Epidemiology, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-4409-8084
Andrew ColdmanCervical Cancer Screening Program, British Columbia Cancer Agency, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Mel KrajdenFaculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Gina OgilvieWomen's Health Research Institute, BC Women's Hospital and Health Service, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
BC Cancer Agency · CAUniversity of British Columbia · CAMcGill University · CAUniversity of California, Davis · US

Funding

Addressing emerging health system priorities in cervical cancer prevention: determining optimal strategies for human papillomavirus test-based screening and triageR01CA221918 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA · PI OGILVIE, GINA · 2018 to 2022
$1.7M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA221918
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLong-term safety of a single negative human papillomavirus (HPV) test for cervical cancer screening is unclear. The HPV FOr cerviCAL Cancer Trial (FOCAL) was a randomized trial comparing HPV testing with cytology. The FOCAL-DECADE cohort tracked women who received one HPV test during FOCAL, and were HPV negative, for up to 10 years to identify cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) and grade 3 or worse (CIN3+) detected through a provincial screening program.

methodsFOCAL participants who received one HPV test, were negative, and had at least one post-FOCAL cervix screen were included (

resultsTen years after one negative HPV test, the probability of CIN2+ detection was lower than 1%, with most lesions detected 7 years or later. Average incidence rates of CIN2+/CIN3+ lesions over follow-up were 0.50 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.31-0.78] and 0.18 (95% CI, 0.07-0.36) per 1,000 person-years, respectively. Hazards were higher for younger ages (nonsignificant trend).

conclusionsAmong women with a single negative HPV test, long-term risk of CIN2+ detection was low, particularly through 7 years of follow-up; thus, one negative HPV test appears to confer long-term protection from precancerous lesions. Even 10-year risk is sufficiently low to support extended testing intervals in average-risk populations. IMPACT: Our findings support the safety of screening policies using HPV testing alone at 5-year or longer intervals.

Indexed as

AdultAgedBritish ColumbiaEarly Detection of CancerFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedPapillomavirus InfectionsRisk AssessmentUterine Cervical DysplasiaUterine Cervical Neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID33082202
PMCPMC8284866
OpenAlexW3093505814

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.