Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33079188›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2021

Dynamics and Dispersal of Local Human Immunodeficiency Virus Epidemics Within San Diego and Across the San Diego-Tijuana Border.

Bram Vrancken, Sanjay R Mehta, Santiago Ávila-Ríos, Claudia García-Morales, Daniela Tapia-Trejo, Gustavo Reyes-Terán, Samuel Navarro-Álvarez, Susan J Little, Martin Hoenigl, Heather A Pines and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed.

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  11. Phylogeographic reconstruction of the emergence and spread of Powassan virus in the northeastern United States.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Bram VranckenDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, Laboratory for Computational and Evolutionary Virology, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-6547-5283
Sanjay R MehtaDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, USA.
Santiago Ávila-RíosCentre for Research in Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Respiratory Diseases, Mexico City, Mexico.
Claudia García-MoralesCentre for Research in Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Respiratory Diseases, Mexico City, Mexico.
Daniela Tapia-TrejoCentre for Research in Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Respiratory Diseases, Mexico City, Mexico.
Gustavo Reyes-TeránCoordinating Commission of the Mexican National Institutes of Health, Mexico City, Mexico.
Samuel Navarro-ÁlvarezHospital General de Tijuana, Tijuana, Mexico.
Susan J LittleDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, USA.
Martin HoeniglDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, USA.
Heather A PinesDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, USA.
Thomas PattersonDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, USA.
Steffanie A StrathdeeDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, USA.
Davey M SmithDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, USA.
Simon DellicourDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, Laboratory for Computational and Evolutionary Virology, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-9558-1052
Antoine ChaillonDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, USA.

Funding

Primary Infection Resource Consortium (PIRC)R24AI106039 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LITTLE, SUSAN JANET · 2013 to 2021
$23.1M
Efficacy of ART to Interrupt HIV Transmission NetworksR01MH100974 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LITTLE, SUSAN JANET · 2014 to 2018
$3.2M
HIV case finding and genetic transmission networks among MSM in Tijuana, MexicoR01DA037811 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI PATTERSON, THOMAS L. · 2014 to 2018
$3.2M
Sexual Networks and HIV Transmission Clusters among Substance Using MSMK01DA040543 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI PINES, HEATHER ALISA · 2015 to 2019
$901k
The Prostate as a Reservoir for Residual ReplicationR21AI131971 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI CHAILLON, ANTOINE · 2018 to 2019
$432k
Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología CONACyT SALUD-2017-01-289725Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek-Vlaanderen 12U7118NMexican GovernmentNIAID NIH HHS R21 AI131971NIAID NIH HHS R24 AI106039NIDA NIH HHS K01 DA040543NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA037811NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH100974
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEvolutionary analyses of well-annotated human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) sequence data can provide insights into viral transmission patterns and associated factors. Here, we explored the transmission dynamics of the HIV-1 subtype B epidemic across the San Diego (US) and Tijuana (Mexico) border region to identify factors that could help guide public health policy.

methodsHIV pol sequences were collected from people with HIV in San Diego County and Tijuana between 1996-2018. A multistep phylogenetic approach was used to characterize the dynamics of spread. The contributions of geospatial factors and HIV risk group to the local dynamics were evaluated.

resultsPhylogeographic analyses of the 2034 sequences revealed an important contribution of local transmission in sustaining the epidemic, as well as a complex viral migration network across the region. Geospatial viral dispersal between San Diego communities occurred predominantly among men who have sex with men, with central San Diego being the main source (34.9%) and recipient (39.5%) of migration events. HIV migration was more frequent from San Diego county towards Tijuana than vice versa. Migrations were best explained by the driving time between locations.

conclusionsThe US-Mexico border may not be a major barrier to the spread of HIV, which may stimulate coordinated transnational intervention approaches. Whereas a focus on central San Diego has the potential to avert most spread, the substantial viral migration independent of central San Diego shows that county-wide efforts will be more effective. Combined, this work shows that epidemiological information gleaned from pathogen genomes can uncover mechanisms that underlie sustained spread and, in turn, can be a building block of public health decision-making.

Indexed as

EpidemicsHIV InfectionsSexual and Gender MinoritiesHIVHomosexuality, MaleHumansMalePhylogenyBayesian discrete phylogeographygeneralized linear modelHIVphylogeography

Identifiers

PMID33079188
PMCPMC8492140

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.