Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33077581›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020

Life cycle patterns of cognitive performance over the long run.

Anthony Strittmatter, Uwe Sunde, Dainis Zegners

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Dietary Flavonoids and Human Cognition: A Meta-Analysis.Molecular nutrition & food research · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Speed and quality of complex strategic decisions.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. Computers and chess masters: The role of AI in transforming elite human performance.British journal of psychology (London, England : 1953) · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
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  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. The effect of masks on cognitive performance.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  11. Hybrid social learning in human-algorithm cultural transmission.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Anthony StrittmatterCenter for Research in Economics and Statistics (CREST)/École nationale de la statistique et de l'administration économique Paris (ENSAE), Institut Polytechnique Paris, 91764 Palaiseau Cedex, France.ORCID 0000-0003-4832-0153
Uwe SundeEconomics Department, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, 80539 München, Germany; uwe.sunde@lmu.de.
Dainis ZegnersRotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University, 3062 PA Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-4560-1152

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Little is known about how the age pattern in individual performance in cognitively demanding tasks changed over the past century. The main difficulty for measuring such life cycle performance patterns and their dynamics over time is related to the construction of a reliable measure that is comparable across individuals and over time and not affected by changes in technology or other environmental factors. This study presents evidence for the dynamics of life cycle patterns of cognitive performance over the past 125 y based on an analysis of data from professional chess tournaments. Individual move-by-move performance in more than 24,000 games is evaluated relative to an objective benchmark that is based on the respective optimal move suggested by a chess engine. This provides a precise and comparable measurement of individual performance for the same individual at different ages over long periods of time, exploiting the advantage of a strictly comparable task and a comparison with an identical performance benchmark. Repeated observations for the same individuals allow disentangling age patterns from idiosyncratic variation and analyzing how age patterns change over time and across birth cohorts. The findings document a hump-shaped performance profile over the life cycle and a long-run shift in the profile toward younger ages that is associated with cohort effects rather than period effects. This shift can be rationalized by greater experience, which is potentially a consequence of changes in education and training facilities related to digitization.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAge FactorsChildCognitionFemaleGames, RecreationalHumansLife Cycle StagesMaleMiddle AgedTime Factorsage–period–cohort decompositionartificial intelligencecognitive performancedigitizationlifetime

Identifiers

PMID33077581
PMCPMC7959507

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.