Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33076967›Full record

ArticleBMC research notes2020

Validation of the REduction of Atherothrombosis for Continued Health (REACH) prediction model for recurrent cardiovascular disease among United Arab Emirates Nationals.

Saif Al-Shamsi, Romona D Govender

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC research notes, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.3field-weighted citation impact, top 37% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Observational
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Saif Al-ShamsiDepartment of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, United Arab Emirates University, Al Ain, United Arab Emirates.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9755-3493
Romona D GovenderDepartment of Family Medicine, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, United Arab Emirates University, P.O. Box 17666, Al Ain, United Arab Emirates. govenderr@uaeu.ac.ae.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3393-9594
United Arab Emirates University · AE

Funding

College of Medicine and Health Sciences, United Arab Emirates University G00002956
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesPrediction models assist health-care providers in making patient care decisions. This study aimed to externally validate the REduction of Atherothrombosis for Continued Health (REACH) prediction model for recurrent cardiovascular disease (CVD) among the Emirati nationals.

resultsThere are 204 patients with established CVD, attending Tawam Hospital from April 1, 2008. The data retrieved from electronic medical records for these patients were used to externally validate the REACH prediction model. Baseline results showed the following: 77.0% were men, 69.6% were diagnosed with coronary artery disease, and 87.3% have a single vascular bed involvement. The risk prediction model for cardiovascular mortality performed moderately well [C-statistic 0.74 (standard error 0.11)] in identifying those at high risk for cardiovascular death, whereas for recurrent CVD events, it performed poorly in predicting the next CVD event [C-statistic 0.63 (standard error 0.06)], over a 20-month follow-up. The calibration curve showed poor agreement indicating that the REACH model underestimated both recurrent CVD risk and cardiovascular death. With recalibration, the REACH cardiovascular death prediction model could potentially be used to identify patients who would benefit from aggressive risk reduction.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesCoronary Artery DiseaseElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHumansMaleRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsUnited Arab EmiratesCalibrationDiscriminationExternal validationPrediction modelRecurrent cardiovascular diseaseUnited arab emirates

Identifiers

PMID33076967
PMCPMC7574310
OpenAlexW3093335637

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.