Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33076958›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of emergency surgery : WJES2020

The incidence of geriatric trauma is increasing and comparison of different scoring tools for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in geriatric trauma patients.

Libing Jiang, Zhongjun Zheng, Mao Zhang

Open access · goldAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of emergency surgery : WJES, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
10.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 107 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. The silver tsunami and the elective arthroplasty crisis: How geriatric trauma overruns public surgical capacity.Knee surgery, sports traumatology, arthroscopy : official journal of the ESSKA · 2026
    Article
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  13. Knowledge of CPR and Code Status Discussions in Traumatically Injured Older Adults: Does Health Literacy Matter?Journal of applied gerontology : the official journal of the Southern Gerontological Society · 2025
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Validation of the Oklahoma predictor model for discharge destination in patients with major traumatic injury: a cross-sectional study.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2025
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Team-based, Multidisciplinary Care in the Emergency Department.Emergency medicine clinics of North America · 2025
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Libing JiangDepartment of Emergency Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jiefang road 88, Hangzhou, China.
Zhongjun ZhengDepartment of Emergency Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jiefang road 88, Hangzhou, China.
Mao ZhangDepartment of Emergency Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jiefang road 88, Hangzhou, China. z2jzk@zju.edu.cn.
Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThe study aimed to examine the changing incidence of geriatric trauma and evaluate the predictive ability of different scoring tools for in-hospital mortality in geriatric trauma patients.

methodsAnnual reports released by the National Trauma Database (NTDB) in the USA from 2005 to 2015 and the Trauma Register DGU® in Germany from 1994 to 2012 were analyzed to examine the changing incidence of geriatric trauma. Secondary analysis of a single-center cohort study conducted among 311 severely injured geriatric trauma patients in a level I trauma center in Switzerland was completed. According to the in-hospital survival status, patients were divided into the survival and non-survival group. The differences of the ISS (injury severity score), NISS (new injury severity score), TRISS (Trauma and Injury Severity Score), APACHE II (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II), and SPAS II (simplified acute physiology score II) between two groups were evaluated. Then, the areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) of different scoring tools for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in geriatric trauma patients were calculated.

resultsThe analysis of the NTDB showed that the increase in the number of geriatric trauma ranged from 18 to 30% between 2005 and 2015. The analysis of the DGU® showed that the mean age of trauma patients rose from 39.11 in 1993 to 51.10 in 2013, and the proportion of patients aged ≥ 60 years rose from 16.5 to 37.5%. The findings from the secondary analysis showed that 164 (52.73%) patients died in the hospital. The ISS, NISS, APACHE II, and SAPS II in the death group were significantly higher than those in the survival group, and the TRISS in the death group was significantly lower than those in the survival group. The AUCs of the ISS, NISS, TRISS, APACHE II, and SAPS II for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in geriatric trauma patients were 0.807, 0.850, 0.828, 0.715, and 0.725, respectively.

conclusionThe total number of geriatric trauma is increasing as the population ages. The accuracy of ISS, NISS and TRISS was higher than the APACHE II and SAPS II for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in geriatric trauma patients.

Indexed as

Geriatric AssessmentHospital MortalityAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleGermanyHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsSwitzerlandTrauma Severity IndicesUnited StatesWounds and InjuriesAging populationElderly traumaGeriatric traumaIn-hospital mortalityScoring tool

Identifiers

PMID33076958
PMCPMC7574576
OpenAlexW3093154686

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.