Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33073921›Full record

ReviewEcology letters2020

Uncovering ecological state dynamics with hidden Markov models.

Brett T McClintock, Roland Langrock, Olivier Gimenez, Emmanuelle Cam, David L Borchers, Richard Glennie, Toby A Patterson

Erratum issuedAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Ecology letters, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 57 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
57citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

57 citing papers in PubMed.

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  10. Ringed Seal (Ecology and evolution · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Brett T McClintockNOAA National Marine Fisheries Service, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6154-4376
Roland LangrockDepartment of Business Administration and Economics, Bielefeld University, Bielefeld, Germany.
Olivier GimenezCNRS Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, Montpellier, France.
Emmanuelle CamLaboratoire des Sciences de l'Environnement Marin, Institut Universitaire Européen de la Mer, Univ. Brest, CNRS, IRD, Ifremer, France.
David L BorchersSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.
Richard GlennieSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.
Toby A PattersonCSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7150-9205

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Ecological systems can often be characterised by changes among a finite set of underlying states pertaining to individuals, populations, communities or entire ecosystems through time. Owing to the inherent difficulty of empirical field studies, ecological state dynamics operating at any level of this hierarchy can often be unobservable or 'hidden'. Ecologists must therefore often contend with incomplete or indirect observations that are somehow related to these underlying processes. By formally disentangling state and observation processes based on simple yet powerful mathematical properties that can be used to describe many ecological phenomena, hidden Markov models (HMMs) can facilitate inferences about complex system state dynamics that might otherwise be intractable. However, HMMs have only recently begun to gain traction within the broader ecological community. We provide a gentle introduction to HMMs, establish some common terminology, review the immense scope of HMMs for applied ecological research and provide a tutorial on implementation and interpretation. By illustrating how practitioners can use a simple conceptual template to customise HMMs for their specific systems of interest, revealing methodological links between existing applications, and highlighting some practical considerations and limitations of these approaches, our goal is to help establish HMMs as a fundamental inferential tool for ecologists.

Indexed as

EcologyEcosystemHumansMarkov ChainsBehavioural ecologycommunity ecologyecosystem ecologyhierarchical modelmovement ecologyobservation errorpopulation ecologystate-space modeltime series

Identifiers

PMID33073921
PMCPMC7702077

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.