ArticleDemography2020
Exposure to Armed Conflict and Fertility in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Article in Demography, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 48 citations in OpenAlex.
- Understanding psychotrauma in Sub-Saharan Africa: a scoping review of clinical and sociocultural perspectives.Frontiers in psychology · 2025Pooled it
- Human fertility after a disaster: a systematic literature review.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Pooled it
- Measuring the Impact of Armed Conflict on Population Health: A Guide for Researchers.Population and development review · 2026Article
- Article
- Determinants of children ever born among women in Somalia: a national survey study.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2026Article
- The relationship between climate change anxiety levels and fertility awareness levels in a sample of women in Turkey: a cross-sectional study.BMC women's health · 2026Article
- Changes in Fertility Trends and Women's Fertility Desires in the Wake of the Homicide Surge in Mexico.Population research and policy review · 2026Article
- Postpartum emotional fertility intentions in Ethiopia: an insight and correlates from a national women and newborns cohort study.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Index pregnancy emotional fertility intention and its correlates in Ethiopia: evidence from a national women and newborns baseline survey.Reproductive health · 2025Article
- Family formation among adolescent Rohingya refugees; trajectories into adolescent marriage and childbearing in Cox's Bazar Bangladesh.Conflict and health · 2025Article
- "What other option did I have?"- The effect of conflict and displacement on child marriage and early childbearing among displaced Rohingya adolescents.Conflict and health · 2025Article
- The Impact of Armed Conflict in Northern Nigeria on Reproductive Autonomy and Unmet Need for Family Planning: A Difference-in-Differences Propensity Score Matching Approach.Health science reports · 2025Article
- Changing patterns of family formation among internally displaced populations in Yemen: evidence from cross-sectional surveys.BMC public health · 2024Article
- State-Level Immigrant Policies and Ideal Family Size in the United States.Population and development review · 2024Article
- Traditional supports and contemporary disrupters of high fertility desires in sub-Saharan Africa: a scoping review.Reproductive health · 2023Article
- Wedding Amidst War? Armed Conflict and Female Teen Marriage in Azerbaijan.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2022Article
- Conflict and Climate Factors and the Risk of Child Acute Malnutrition Among Children Aged 24-59 Months: A Comparative Analysis of Kenya, Nigeria, and Uganda.Spatial demography · 2022Article
- Life After Loss: A Prospective Analysis of Mortality Exposure and Unintended Fertility.Demography · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
Changes in fertility patterns are hypothesized to be among the many second-order consequences of armed conflict, but expectations about the direction of such effects are theoretically ambiguous. Prior research, from a range of contexts, has also yielded inconsistent results. We contribute to this debate by using harmonized data and methods to examine the effects of exposure to conflict on preferred and observed fertility outcomes across a spatially and temporally extensive population. We use high-resolution georeferenced data from 25 sub-Saharan African countries, combining records of violent events from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) with data on fertility goals and outcomes from the Demographic and Health Surveys (n = 368,765 women aged 15-49 years). We estimate a series of linear and logistic regression models to assess the effects of exposure to conflict events on ideal family size and the probability of childbearing within the 12 months prior to the interview. We find that, on average, exposure to armed conflict leads to modest reductions in both respondents' preferred family size and their probability of recent childbearing. Many of these effects are heterogeneous between demographic groups and across contexts, which suggests systematic differences in women's vulnerability or preferred responses to armed conflict. Additional analyses suggest that conflict-related fertility declines may be driven by delays or reductions in marriage. These results contribute new evidence about the demographic effects of conflict and their underlying mechanisms, and broadly underline the importance of studying the second-order effects of organized violence on vulnerable populations.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.