Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33066777›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2020

Adapting hospital capacity to meet changing demands during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Ruth McCabe, Nora Schmit, Paula Christen, Josh C D'Aeth, Alessandra Løchen, Dheeya Rizmie, Shevanthi Nayagam, Marisa Miraldo, Paul Aylin, Alex Bottle and 5 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 107 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
107citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
14.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

107 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 229 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Measuring hospital care resilience: a systematic literature review.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
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47 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Ruth McCabeMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK.
Nora SchmitMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK.
Paula ChristenMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK.
Josh C D'AethMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK.
Alessandra LøchenMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK.
Dheeya RizmieCentre for Health Economics & Policy Innovation, Department of Economics & Public Policy, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Shevanthi NayagamMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK.
Marisa MiraldoCentre for Health Economics & Policy Innovation, Department of Economics & Public Policy, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Paul AylinDr Foster Unit, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Alex BottleDr Foster Unit, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Pablo N Perez-GuzmanMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK.
Azra C GhaniMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK.
Neil M FergusonMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK.
Peter J WhiteMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK.
Katharina HauckMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK. k.hauck@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-3138-4169
Imperial College London · GBNIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre · GBPublic Health England · GB

Funding

MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis MR/R015600/1National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) HPRU in Modelling and Health Economics NIHR200908The Wellcome Trust and FCDO COVID-19 researchWellcome TrustWellcome Trust 215193/Z/19/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo calculate hospital surge capacity, achieved via hospital provision interventions implemented for the emergency treatment of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and other patients through March to May 2020; to evaluate the conditions for admitting patients for elective surgery under varying admission levels of COVID-19 patients.

methodsWe analysed National Health Service (NHS) datasets and literature reviews to estimate hospital care capacity before the pandemic (pre-pandemic baseline) and to quantify the impact of interventions (cancellation of elective surgery, field hospitals, use of private hospitals, deployment of former medical staff and deployment of newly qualified medical staff) for treatment of adult COVID-19 patients, focusing on general and acute (G&A) and critical care (CC) beds, staff and ventilators.

resultsNHS England would not have had sufficient capacity to treat all COVID-19 and other patients in March and April 2020 without the hospital provision interventions, which alleviated significant shortfalls in CC nurses, CC and G&A beds and CC junior doctors. All elective surgery can be conducted at normal pre-pandemic levels provided the other interventions are sustained, but only if the daily number of COVID-19 patients occupying CC beds is not greater than 1550 in the whole of England. If the other interventions are not maintained, then elective surgery can only be conducted if the number of COVID-19 patients occupying CC beds is not greater than 320. However, there is greater national capacity to treat G&A patients: without interventions, it takes almost 10,000 G&A COVID-19 patients before any G&A elective patients would be unable to be accommodated.

conclusionsUnless COVID-19 hospitalisations drop to low levels, there is a continued need to enhance critical care capacity in England with field hospitals, use of private hospitals or deployment of former and newly qualified medical staff to allow some or all elective surgery to take place.

Indexed as

Surge CapacityAdultBetacoronavirusCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19Critical CareElective Surgical ProceduresEnglandHospitalizationHospitalsHumansNeeds AssessmentPandemicsPneumonia, ViralSARS-CoV-2State MedicineCOVID-19Critical careElective surgeryGeneral & acuteHospital capacityInterventions

Identifiers

PMID33066777
PMCPMC7565725
OpenAlexW3086387464

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.