Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33065022›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Public health2020

Impact of COVID-19 mitigation measures on the incidence of preterm birth: a national quasi-experimental study.

Jasper V Been, Lizbeth Burgos Ochoa, Loes C M Bertens, Sam Schoenmakers, Eric A P Steegers, Irwin K M Reiss

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 142 papers, 14 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
142citing papers in PubMed, 14 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact, top 86% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

142 citing papers in PubMed, 14 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 0 citations in OpenAlex.

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  13. CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2021
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  14. The impact of COVID-19 on pregnancy outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2021
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82 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jasper V BeenDivision of Neonatology, Department of Paediatrics, Erasmus Medical Centre-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, Netherlands; Division of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Erasmus Medical Centre-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, Netherlands; Department of Public Health, Erasmus Medical Centre, Rotterdam, Netherlands. Electronic address: j.been@erasmusmc.nl.
Lizbeth Burgos OchoaDivision of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Erasmus Medical Centre-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Loes C M BertensDivision of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Erasmus Medical Centre-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Sam SchoenmakersDivision of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Erasmus Medical Centre-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Eric A P SteegersDivision of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Erasmus Medical Centre-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Irwin K M ReissDivision of Neonatology, Department of Paediatrics, Erasmus Medical Centre-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Erasmus MC - Sophia Children’s Hospital · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPreterm birth is the leading cause of child mortality globally, with many survivors experiencing long-term adverse consequences. Preliminary evidence suggests that numbers of preterm births greatly reduced following implementation of policy measures aimed at mitigating the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. We aimed to study the impact of the COVID-19 mitigation measures implemented in the Netherlands in a stepwise fashion on March 9, March 15, and March 23, 2020, on the incidence of preterm birth.

methodsWe used a national quasi-experimental difference-in-regression-discontinuity approach. We used data from the neonatal dried blood spot screening programme (2010-20) cross-validated against national perinatal registry data. Stratified analyses were done according to gestational age subgroups, and sensitivity analyses were done to assess robustness of the findings. We explored potential effect modification by neighbourhood socioeconomic status, sex, and small-for-gestational-age status.

findingsData on 1 599 547 singleton neonates were available, including 56 720 births that occurred after implementation of COVID-19 mitigation measures on March 9, 2020. Consistent reductions in the incidence of preterm birth were seen across various time windows surrounding March 9 (± 2 months [n=531 823] odds ratio [OR] 0·77, 95% CI 0·66-0·91, p=0·0026; ± 3 months [n=796 531] OR 0·85, 0·73-0·98, p=0·028; ± 4 months [n=1 066 872] OR 0·84, 0·73-0·97, p=0·023). Decreases in incidence observed following the March 15 measures were of smaller magnitude, but not statistically significant. No changes were observed after March 23. Reductions in the incidence of preterm births after March 9 were consistent across gestational age strata and robust in sensitivity analyses. They appeared confined to neighbourhoods of high socioeconomic status, but effect modification was not statistically significant.

interpretationIn this national quasi-experimental study, initial implementation of COVID-19 mitigation measures was associated with a substantial reduction in the incidence of preterm births in the following months, in agreement with preliminary observations elsewhere. Integration of comparable data from across the globe is needed to further substantiate these findings and start exploring underlying mechanisms.

fundingNone.

Indexed as

Coronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19FemaleHumansIncidenceInfant, NewbornNetherlandsPandemicsPneumonia, ViralPregnancyPremature Birth

Identifiers

PMID33065022
PMCPMC7553867
OpenAlexW3093080670

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.