Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33064751›Full record

SynthesisPLoS medicine2020

The association between circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D metabolites and type 2 diabetes in European populations: A meta-analysis and Mendelian randomisation analysis.

Ju-Sheng Zheng, Jian'an Luan, Eleni Sofianopoulou, Stephen J Sharp, Felix R Day, Fumiaki Imamura, Thomas E Gundersen, Luca A Lotta, Ivonne Sluijs, Isobel D Stewart and 40 more

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PLoS medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 48 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
48citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
8.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

48 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 67 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

50 authors at 20 institutions in 12 countries.

Ju-Sheng ZhengMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6560-4890
Jian'an LuanMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Eleni SofianopoulouMRC/BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Stephen J SharpMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-2375-1440
Felix R DayMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3789-7651
Fumiaki ImamuraMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Thomas E GundersenVITAS, Oslo, Norway.
Luca A LottaMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Ivonne SluijsJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-7758-4911
Isobel D StewartMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Rupal L ShahMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-8789-8869
Yvonne T van der SchouwJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-4605-435X
Eleanor WheelerMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Eva ArdanazNavarra Public Health Institute, Pamplona, Spain.
Heiner BoeingDepartment of Epidemiology, German Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbruecke, Germany.
Miren DorronsoroPublic Health Division of Gipuzkoa, San Sebastian, Spain.
Christina C DahmDepartment of Public Health, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-0481-2893
Niki DimouInternational Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0003-1678-9328
Douae El-FatouhiCenter of Research in Epidemiology and Population Health, UMR 1018 Inserm, Institut Gustave Roussy, Paris South-Paris Saclay University, Villejuif, France.
Paul W FranksDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-0520-7604
Guy FagherazziCenter of Research in Epidemiology and Population Health, UMR 1018 Inserm, Institut Gustave Roussy, Paris South-Paris Saclay University, Villejuif, France.ORCID 0000-0001-5033-5966
Sara GrioniEpidemiology and Prevention Unit, Milan, Italy.
José María HuertaCIBER Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-9637-3869
Alicia K HeathDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6517-1300
Louise HansenDanish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-7109-8864
Mazda JenabInternational Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-0573-1852
Paula JakszynUnit of Nutrition and Cancer, Cancer Epidemiology Research Program, Catalan Institute of Oncology-Institut d'Investigació Biomédica de Bellvitge, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain.
Rudolf KaaksDivision of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
Tilman KühnDivision of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7702-317X
Kay-Tee KhawDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Nasser LaoualiCenter of Research in Epidemiology and Population Health, UMR 1018 Inserm, Institut Gustave Roussy, Paris South-Paris Saclay University, Villejuif, France.ORCID 0000-0002-8532-456X
Giovanna MasalaCancer Risk Factors and Life-Style Epidemiology Unit, Institute for Cancer Research, Prevention and Clinical Network (ISPRO), Florence, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-5758-9069
Peter M NilssonDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.
Kim OvervadDepartment of Public Health, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.
Anja OlsenDanish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-4788-503X
Salvatore PanicoDipartimento di Medicina Clinica e Chirurgia, University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy.
J Ramón QuirósPublic Health Directorate, Asturias, Spain.
Olov RolandssonFamily Medicine Division, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Miguel Rodríguez-BarrancoCIBER Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-9972-9779
Carlotta SacerdoteUnit of Cancer Epidemiology, Città della Salute e della Scienza di Torino University Hospital-University of Turin and Center for Cancer Prevention (CPO), Torino, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-8008-5096
Annemieke M W SpijkermanNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Tammy Y N TongCancer Epidemiology Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-0284-8959
Rosario TuminoAzienda Sanitaria Provinciale, Ragusa, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-2666-414X
Konstantinos K TsilidisDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8452-8472
John DaneshMRC/BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Elio RiboliDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6795-6080
Adam S ButterworthMRC/BHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Claudia LangenbergMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-5017-7344
Nita G ForouhiMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-5041-248X
Nicholas J WarehamMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-1422-2993
University of Cambridge · GBInserm · FRAarhus University · DKCentre international de recherche sur le cancer · FRDanish Cancer Society · DKGerman Cancer Research Center · DEImperial College London · GBLund University · SEUtrecht University · NLAgenzia Regionale Sanitaria della Puglia · ITAzienda Ospedaliera Citta' della Salute e della Scienza di Torino · ITGerman Institute of Human Nutrition · DEGobierno del Principado de Asturias · ESInstitut d'Investigació Biomédica de Bellvitge · ESInstituto de Salud Pública de Navarra · ESInstituto Murciano de Investigación Biosanitaria · ESNational Centre for Disease Prevention and Control · ITNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment · NLPiedmont Reference Center for Epidemiology and Cancer Prevention · ITUmeå University · SE

Funding

British Heart Foundation RG/13/13/30194British Heart Foundation RG/18/13/33946Cancer Research UK C570/A16491Cancer Research UK C8221/A19170Department of Health IS-BRC-1215-20014European Research Council 268834Medical Research Council MC_UU_00006/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_00006/2Medical Research Council MC_UU_00006/3Medical Research Council MC_UU_12015/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_12015/2Medical Research Council MC_UU_12015/5Medical Research Council MR/L003120/1Medical Research Council MR/M012190/1Medical Research Council RG71466World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrior research suggested a differential association of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) metabolites with type 2 diabetes (T2D), with total 25(OH)D and 25(OH)D3 inversely associated with T2D, but the epimeric form (C3-epi-25(OH)D3) positively associated with T2D. Whether or not these observational associations are causal remains uncertain. We aimed to examine the potential causality of these associations using Mendelian randomisation (MR) analysis. METHODS AND

findingsWe performed a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies for total 25(OH)D (N = 120,618), 25(OH)D3 (N = 40,562), and C3-epi-25(OH)D3 (N = 40,562) in participants of European descent (European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition [EPIC]-InterAct study, EPIC-Norfolk study, EPIC-CVD study, Ely study, and the SUNLIGHT consortium). We identified genetic variants for MR analysis to investigate the causal association of the 25(OH)D metabolites with T2D (including 80,983 T2D cases and 842,909 non-cases). We also estimated the observational association of 25(OH)D metabolites with T2D by performing random effects meta-analysis of results from previous studies and results from the EPIC-InterAct study. We identified 10 genetic loci associated with total 25(OH)D, 7 loci associated with 25(OH)D3 and 3 loci associated with C3-epi-25(OH)D3. Based on the meta-analysis of observational studies, each 1-standard deviation (SD) higher level of 25(OH)D was associated with a 20% lower risk of T2D (relative risk [RR]: 0.80; 95% CI 0.77, 0.84; p < 0.001), but a genetically predicted 1-SD increase in 25(OH)D was not significantly associated with T2D (odds ratio [OR]: 0.96; 95% CI 0.89, 1.03; p = 0.23); this result was consistent across sensitivity analyses. In EPIC-InterAct, 25(OH)D3 (per 1-SD) was associated with a lower risk of T2D (RR: 0.81; 95% CI 0.77, 0.86; p < 0.001), while C3-epi-25(OH)D3 (above versus below lower limit of quantification) was positively associated with T2D (RR: 1.12; 95% CI 1.03, 1.22; p = 0.006), but neither 25(OH)D3 (OR: 0.97; 95% CI 0.93, 1.01; p = 0.14) nor C3-epi-25(OH)D3 (OR: 0.98; 95% CI 0.93, 1.04; p = 0.53) was causally associated with T2D risk in the MR analysis. Main limitations include the lack of a non-linear MR analysis and of the generalisability of the current findings from European populations to other populations of different ethnicities.

conclusionsOur study found discordant associations of biochemically measured and genetically predicted differences in blood 25(OH)D with T2D risk. The findings based on MR analysis in a large sample of European ancestry do not support a causal association of total 25(OH)D or 25(OH)D metabolites with T2D and argue against the use of vitamin D supplementation for the prevention of T2D.

Indexed as

AdultDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Dietary SupplementsFemaleGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansMaleMendelian Randomization AnalysisMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk FactorsVitamin DWhite People25-hydroxyvitamin DVitamin D

Identifiers

PMID33064751
PMCPMC7567390
OpenAlexW3093033470

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