Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33063199›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of surgery2021

The Usefulness of a Preoperative Nomogram for Predicting the Probability of Conversion from Laparoscopic to Open Distal Pancreatectomy: A Single-Center Experience.

Riccardo Casadei, Claudio Ricci, Carlo Ingaldi, Laura Alberici, Maria Chiara Vaccaro, Elisa Galasso, Francesco Minni

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of surgery, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Riccardo CasadeiDepartment of Internal Medicine and Surgery (DIMEC), S.Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, Alma Mater Studiorum-University of Bologna, Via Massarenti n.9, 40138, Bologna, Italy. riccardo.casadei@unibo.it.
Claudio RicciDepartment of Internal Medicine and Surgery (DIMEC), S.Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, Alma Mater Studiorum-University of Bologna, Via Massarenti n.9, 40138, Bologna, Italy.
Carlo IngaldiDepartment of Internal Medicine and Surgery (DIMEC), S.Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, Alma Mater Studiorum-University of Bologna, Via Massarenti n.9, 40138, Bologna, Italy.
Laura AlbericiDepartment of Internal Medicine and Surgery (DIMEC), S.Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, Alma Mater Studiorum-University of Bologna, Via Massarenti n.9, 40138, Bologna, Italy.
Maria Chiara VaccaroDepartment of Internal Medicine and Surgery (DIMEC), S.Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, Alma Mater Studiorum-University of Bologna, Via Massarenti n.9, 40138, Bologna, Italy.
Elisa GalassoDepartment of Internal Medicine and Surgery (DIMEC), S.Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, Alma Mater Studiorum-University of Bologna, Via Massarenti n.9, 40138, Bologna, Italy.
Francesco MinniDepartment of Internal Medicine and Surgery (DIMEC), S.Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, Alma Mater Studiorum-University of Bologna, Via Massarenti n.9, 40138, Bologna, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLaparoscopic distal pancreatectomy (LDP) represents a challenging procedure with a high conversion rate. A nomogram is a simple statistical predictive tool which is superior to risk groups. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a preoperative nomogram for predicting the probability of conversion from laparoscopic to open distal pancreatectomy.

methodsThis is a retrospective study of 100 consecutive patients who underwent LDP. For each patient demographic, pre-intra- and postoperative data were collected. Univariate and multivariate analyses were carried out to identify the factors significantly influencing the conversion rate. The effect of each factor was weighted using the beta coefficient (β), and a nomogram was built. Finally, a logistic regression between the score and the conversion rate was carried out to calibrate the nomogram.

resultsThe conversion rate was 19.0%. At multivariate analysis, female (β =  - 1.8 ± 0.9; P = 0.047) and tail location of the tumor (β =  - 2.1 ± 1.1; P = 0.050) were significantly related to a low probability of conversion. Body mass index (BMI) (β = 0.2 ± 0.1; P = 0.011) and subtotal pancreatectomy (β = 2.4 ± 0.9; P = 0.006) were factors independently related to a high probability of conversion. The nomogram constructed had a minimum value of 4 and a maximum value of 18 points. The probability of conversion increased significantly starting from a minimum score of 6 points (P = 0.029; conversion probability 14.4%; 95%CI, 1.5-27.3%) up to 16 (P = 0.048; 27.8%; 95%CI, 0.2-48.7%).

conclusionThe nomogram proposed could serve as an effective preoperative tool capable of assessing the probability of conversion, allowing to take reliable decisions regarding indications and adequate stepwise training program of LDP.

Indexed as

LaparoscopyAgedFemaleHumansLength of StayMaleMiddle AgedNomogramsPancreatectomyPancreatic NeoplasmsPostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective StudiesTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID33063199
PMCPMC7752782

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.