ArticleRisk management and healthcare policy2020
Effect of Social Distancing on COVID-19 Incidence and Mortality in Iran Since February 20 to May 13, 2020: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.
Article in Risk management and healthcare policy, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Effectiveness of public health measures in reducing the incidence of covid-19, SARS-CoV-2 transmission, and covid-19 mortality: systematic review and meta-analysis.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2021Pooled it
- Effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical public health interventions against COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis.PloS one · 2021Pooled it
- Respiratory viral infections: when and where? A scoping review of spatiotemporal methods.Journal of global health · 2025Article
- Comparing the trend of colorectal cancer before and after the implementation of the Population-Based National Cancer Registry in Iran.Journal of preventive medicine and hygiene · 2024Article
- Excess mortality during COVID-19 pandemic in Bangladesh - evidence from a rural survey.Journal of global health · 2024Article
- Applying Structural Equation Modelling to Understand the Implementation of Social Distancing in the Professional Lives of Healthcare Workers.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Pregnancy in the time of COVID-19: towards Fetal monitoring 4.0.BMC pregnancy and childbirth · 2023Review
- Non-Pharmacologic Interventions in COVID-19 Pandemic Management; a Systematic Review.Archives of academic emergency medicine · 2023Review
- COVID-19: Clinical features, case fatality, and the effect of symptoms on mortality in hospitalized cases in Iran.Journal of Taibah University Medical Sciences · 2022Article
- Differences in lethality and diffusion of Covid-19 in countries using different kinds of vaccines.Journal of public health research · 2022Article
- The effects of COVID-19 measures on the hospitalization of patients with epilepsy and status epilepticus in Thailand: An interrupted time series analysis.Epilepsia open · 2022Article
- Effect of epidemic management and control plan on COVID-19 mortality in Iran: an interrupted time series analysis.Journal of preventive medicine and hygiene · 2022Article
- Effectiveness of social distancing interventions in containing COVID-19 incidence: International evidence using Kalman filter.Economics and human biology · 2022Article
- Identification of Risk Factors for COVID-19-related Death using Machine Learning Methods.Tanaffos · 2022Article
- Article
- The Impact of China's Lockdown Policy on the Incidence of COVID-19: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.BioMed research international · 2021Article
- The Impact of Control Measures and Holiday Seasons on Incidence and Mortality Rate of COVID-19 in Iran.Journal of research in health sciences · 2020Observational
Corrections and comments
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4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND
objectiveNumerous actions have been taken to control the COVID-19 pandemic and reduce their morbidity and mortality. One of the most important measures in this regard is social distancing. However, there is limited evidence on the effectiveness of social distancing on COVID-19 incidence and mortality. Thus, the current study aimed to assess the effectiveness of social distancing measures on the COVID-19 incidence and mortality in Iran. MATERIALS AND
methodsIn the current quasi-experimental study, we evaluated the daily incidence cases and the number of deaths of COVID-19 in Iran before and after the implementation of social distancing measures. The segmented regression model was used to analyze the data. We also performed the interrupted time series (ITS) analysis using Newey ordinary least squares (OLS) regression-based methods.
resultsAfter the implementation of social distancing, the trend of both daily new cases and deaths due to COVID-19 was decreasing [(ß = -1.70 (95% CI = [-2.30 - -1.10; P < 0.001])) and (ß = -0.07 (95% CI = [-0.10 - -0.05; P < 0.001], respectively))].
conclusionSocial distancing along with other public health interventions could reduce the morbidity and mortality of COVID-19 to some degrees, and it seems to be crucial to control the pandemic.
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