Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33057239›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2020

The long-term effects of meteorological parameters on pertussis infections in Chongqing, China, 2004-2018.

Yongbin Wang, Chunjie Xu, Jingchao Ren, Yingzheng Zhao, Yuchun Li, Lei Wang, Sanqiao Yao

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04694430 (A Integration of Respiratory Medicine and Prevention Multi-center Study to Determine the Prevalence and Influence of Pertussis on Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbation in Shenzhen by National Respiratory Diseases Clinical Medicine Research Center), which is not on this map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04694430 unknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2021, after this paper: background citation

A Integration of Respiratory Medicine and Prevention Multi-center Study to Determine the Prevalence and Influence of Pertussis on Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbation in Shenzhen by National Respiratory Diseases Clinical Medicine Research Center

TypeobservationalSponsorShenzhen People's HospitalRan2021 to 2021Enrolled500ConditionsCOPD Exacerbation, PertussisArmsBlood sample, Data collection, Throat swab
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yongbin WangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Henan Province, Xinxiang, 453000, People's Republic of China. wybwho@163.com.
Chunjie XuDepartment of Occupational and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Jingchao RenDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Henan Province, Xinxiang, 453000, People's Republic of China.
Yingzheng ZhaoDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Henan Province, Xinxiang, 453000, People's Republic of China.
Yuchun LiDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Henan Province, Xinxiang, 453000, People's Republic of China.
Lei WangCenter for Musculoskeletal Surgery, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität Zu Berlin and Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, Germany.
Sanqiao YaoDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Henan Province, Xinxiang, 453000, People's Republic of China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Evidence on the long-term influence of climatic variables on pertussis is limited. This study aims to explore the long-term quantitative relationship between weather variability and pertussis. Data on the monthly number of pertussis cases and weather parameters in Chongqing in the period of 2004-2018 were collected. Then, we used a negative binomial multivariable regression model and cointegration testing to examine the association of variations in monthly meteorological parameters and pertussis. Descriptive statistics exhibited that the pertussis incidence rose from 0.251 per 100,000 people in 2004 to 3.661 per 100,000 persons in 2018, and pertussis was a seasonal illness, peaked in spring and summer. The results from the regression model that allowed for the long-term trends, seasonality, autoregression, and delayed effects after correcting for overdispersion showed that a 1 hPa increment in the delayed one-month air pressure contributed to a 3.559% (95% CI 0.746-6.293%) reduction in the monthly number of pertussis cases; a 10 mm increment in the monthly aggregate precipitation, a 1 °C increment in the monthly average temperature, and a 1 m/s increment in the monthly average wind velocity resulted in 3.641% (95% CI 0.960-6.330%), 19.496% (95% CI 2.368-39.490%), and 3.812 (95% CI 1.243-11.690)-fold increases in the monthly number of pertussis cases, respectively. The roles of the mentioned weather parameters in the transmission of pertussis were also evidenced by a sensitivity analysis. The cointegration testing suggested a significant value among variables. Climatic factors, particularly monthly temperature, precipitation, air pressure, and wind velocity, play a role in the transmission of pertussis. This finding will be of great help in understanding the epidemic trends of pertussis in the future, and weather variability should be taken into account in the prevention and control of pertussis.

Indexed as

WeatherChinaHumansIncidenceMeteorologySeasonsWhooping Cough

Identifiers

PMID33057239
PMCPMC7560825

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