Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33057173›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2020

Range expansion of muskox lungworms track rapid arctic warming: implications for geographic colonization under climate forcing.

Pratap Kafle, Peter Peller, Alessandro Massolo, Eric Hoberg, Lisa-Marie Leclerc, Matilde Tomaselli, Susan Kutz

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Sublethal effects of parasitism on ruminants can have cascading consequences for ecosystems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Long-term trends in parasite diversity and infection levels: approaches and patterns.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2026
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
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  7. Widespread geographic distribution of filarioid nematodes in caribou (International journal for parasitology. Parasites and wildlife · 2025
    Article
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  9. Article
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  12. Review
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  18. Cancer evolution: Darwin and beyond.The EMBO journal · 2021
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Pratap KafleDepartment of Ecosystem and Public Health, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Calgary, 3330 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB, T2N 4N1, Canada. pratap.kafle@usask.ca.ORCID 0000-0002-1214-463X
Peter PellerSpatial and Numeric Data Services, University of Calgary, 410 University Ct NW, Calgary, AB, T2N 1N4, Canada.
Alessandro MassoloDepartment of Biology, University of Pisa, Via Volta 6, 56126, Pisa, Italy.
Eric HobergDepartment of Biology and Museum of Southwestern Biology, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, 87131, USA.
Lisa-Marie LeclercDepartment of Environment, Government of Nunavut, Kugluktuk, NU, X0B 0E0, Canada.
Matilde TomaselliDepartment of Ecosystem and Public Health, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Calgary, 3330 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB, T2N 4N1, Canada.
Susan KutzDepartment of Ecosystem and Public Health, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Calgary, 3330 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB, T2N 4N1, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Rapid climate warming in the Arctic results in multifaceted disruption of biodiversity, faunal structure, and ecosystem health. Hypotheses have linked range expansion and emergence of parasites and diseases to accelerating warming globally but empirical studies demonstrating causality are rare. Using historical data and recent surveys as baselines, we explored climatological drivers for Arctic warming as determinants of range expansion for two temperature-dependent lungworms, Umingmakstrongylus pallikuukensis and Varestrongylus eleguneniensis, of muskoxen (Ovibos moschatus) and caribou (Rangifer tarandus), in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago from 1980 through 2017. Our field data shows a substantial northward shift of the northern edge of the range for both parasites and increased abundance across the expanded ranges during the last decade. Mechanistic models parameterized with parasites' thermal requirements demonstrated that geographical colonization tracked spatial expansion of permissive environments, with a temporal lag. Subtle differences in life histories, thermal requirements of closely related parasites, climate oscillations and shifting thermal balances across environments influence faunal assembly and biodiversity. Our findings support that persistence of host-parasite assemblages reflects capacities of parasites to utilize host and environmental resources in an ecological arena of fluctuating opportunity (alternating trends in exploration and exploitation) driving shifting boundaries for distribution across spatial and temporal scales.

Indexed as

EcosystemGlobal WarmingAnimal DistributionAnimalsArctic RegionsFecesHost-Parasite InteractionsIntestinal Diseases, ParasiticLarvaLife Cycle StagesReindeerRuminantsSpecies SpecificityStrongylidaStrongylida Infections

Identifiers

PMID33057173
PMCPMC7560617

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.