ArticleOne health (Amsterdam, Netherlands)2020
Whence the next pandemic? The intersecting global geography of the animal-human interface, poor health systems and air transit centrality reveals conduits for high-impact spillover.
Article in One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.
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Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed, 47 citations in OpenAlex.
- Article
- Mosquito-independent milk-associated transmission of zoonotic Wesselsbron virus in sheep.PLoS pathogens · 2024Article
- Understanding the roles of economy and society in the relative risks of zoonosis emergence from livestock.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
- Building a pathway to One Health surveillance and response in Asian countries.Science in One Health · 2024Review
- Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) as a form of human-wildlife conflict: Why and how nondomesticated species should be incorporated into AMR guidance.Ecology and evolution · 2023Article
- Natural environments, psychosocial health, and health behaviors in a crisis - A scoping review of the literature in the COVID-19 context.Journal of environmental psychology · 2023Article
- Global governance for pandemic prevention and the wildlife trade.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2023Review
- Face masks affect emotion categorisation, age estimation, recognition, and gender classification from faces.Cognitive research: principles and implications · 2022Article
- Nipah Virus Detection at Bat Roosts after Spillover Events, Bangladesh, 2012-2019.Emerging infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Orthodontic Adolescent Patients' Attitudes toward Protective Face Mask Wearing during the COVID-19 Pandemic.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2022Article
- Passive epidemiological surveillance in wildlife in Costa Rica identifies pathogens of zoonotic and conservation importance.PloS one · 2022Article
- A multiplicity of environmental, economic and social factor analyses to understand COVID-19 diffusion.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2021Article
- Low mammalian species richness is associated with Kyasanur Forest disease outbreak risk in deforested landscapes in the Western Ghats, India.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2021Article
- Land-use change and rodent-borne diseases: hazards on the shared socioeconomic pathways.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021Article
- Scrutiny of COVID-19 response strategies among severely affected European nations.Osong public health and research perspectives · 2021Article
- The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic: A syndemic perspective.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2021Review
- How the nations should gear up for future pandemics?Journal of global health · 2021Review
- Reviewing the ecological evidence base for management of emerging tropical zoonoses: Kyasanur Forest Disease in India as a case study.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2021Review
- Rabies in Our Neighbourhood: Preparedness for an Emerging Infectious Disease.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The health and economic impacts of infectious disease pandemics are catastrophic as most recently manifested by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The emerging infections that lead to substantive epidemics or pandemics are typically zoonoses that cross species boundaries at vulnerable points of animal-human interface. The sharing of space between wildlife and humans, and their domesticated animals, has dramatically increased in recent decades and is a key driver of pathogen spillover. Increasing animal-human interface has also occurred in concert with both increasing globalisation and failing health systems, resulting in a trifecta with dire implications for human and animal health. Nevertheless, to date we lack a geographical description of this trifecta that can be applied strategically to pandemic prevention. This investigation provides the first geographical quantification of the intersection of animal-human interfaces, poor human health system performance and global connectivity via the network of air travel. In so doing, this work provides a systematic, data-driven approach to classifying spillover hazard based on the distribution of animal-human interfaces while simultaneously identifying globally connected cities that are adjacent to these interfaces and which may facilitate global pathogen dissemination. We present this geography of high-impact spillover as a tool for developing targeted surveillance systems and improved health infrastructure in vulnerable areas that may present conduits for future pandemics.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.