ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2020
Experimental evidence of warming-induced disease emergence and its prediction by a trait-based mechanistic model.
Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed.
- Temperature and Resources Interact to Affect Transmission via Host Foraging Rate and Susceptibility.Ecology letters · 2025Article
- Impacts of Weather Anomalies and Climate on Plant Disease.Ecology letters · 2025Review
- Early warning signals do not predict a warming-induced experimental epidemic.PLOS global public health · 2025Article
- Cold snaps lead to a 5-fold increase or a 3-fold decrease in disease proliferation depending on the baseline temperature.BMC biology · 2024Article
- Coinfection frequency in water flea populations is a mere reflection of parasite diversity.Communications biology · 2024Article
- Increased virulence due to multiple infection inParasitology · 2024Article
- Fluctuating temperatures have a surprising effect on disease transmission.PLoS biology · 2023Article
- Short-term temperature fluctuations increase disease in a Daphnia-parasite infectious disease system.PLoS biology · 2023Article
- Temperature and intraspecific variation affect host-parasite interactions.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2023Article
- Infection burdens and virulence under heat stress: ecological and evolutionary considerations.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023Review
- Temperature modifies trait-mediated infection outcomes in aPhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023Article
- Scaling effects of temperature on parasitism from individuals to populations.The Journal of animal ecology · 2022Review
- Article
- Experimental evidence of warming-induced disease emergence and its prediction by a trait-based mechanistic model.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2020Article
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Predicting the effects of seasonality and climate change on the emergence and spread of infectious disease remains difficult, in part because of poorly understood connections between warming and the mechanisms driving disease. Trait-based mechanistic models combined with thermal performance curves arising from the metabolic theory of ecology (MTE) have been highlighted as a promising approach going forward; however, this framework has not been tested under controlled experimental conditions that isolate the role of gradual temporal warming on disease dynamics and emergence. Here, we provide experimental evidence that a slowly warming host-parasite system can be pushed through a critical transition into an epidemic state. We then show that a trait-based mechanistic model with MTE functional forms can predict the critical temperature for disease emergence, subsequent disease dynamics through time and final infection prevalence in an experimentally warmed system of
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.