ArticleScientific reports2020
After the lockdown: simulating mobility, public health and economic recovery scenarios.
Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed.
- Topic and Trend Analysis of Weibo Discussions About COVID-19 Medications Before and After China's Exit from the Zero-COVID Policy: Retrospective Infoveillance Study.Journal of medical Internet research · 2023Article
- Simulation Models for Suicide Prevention: A Survey of the State-of-the-Art.Computers (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Assessing the effectiveness of perimeter lockdowns as a response to epidemics at the urban scale.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Determination of Population Mobility Dynamics in Popayán-Colombia during the COVID-19 Pandemic Using Open Datasets.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Does the shape of economic recovery matter? An alternative unit root test with new smooth transition model.Journal of economic asymmetries · 2022Article
- Effect of Lockdown and Mass Testing for the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Epidemic on Reducing New Infections in Shenzhen, China.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Transmission dynamics model and the coronavirus disease 2019 epidemic: applications and challenges.Medical review (2021) · 2022Review
- Understanding the uneven spread of COVID-19 in the context of the global interconnected economy.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- COVID-19, mobility restriction, and sexual behavior among a cohort of people of reproductive age: Nigeria.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Article
- Effects of mobility restrictions during COVID19 in Italy.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Socioeconomic differences and persistent segregation of Italian territories during COVID-19 pandemic.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Consumption of Phenolic-Rich Food and Dietary Supplements as a Key Tool in SARS-CoV-19 Infection.Foods (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Review
- Mobility-based real-time economic monitoring amid the COVID-19 pandemic.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- The impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on financial markets: a seismologic approach.Annals of operations research · 2021Article
- Diffusion modeling of COVID-19 under lockdown.Physics of fluids (Woodbury, N.Y. : 1994) · 2021Article
- Model-based projections for COVID-19 outbreak size and student-days lost to closure in Ontario childcare centres and primary schools.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Presence and mobility of the population during the first wave of Covid-19 outbreak and lockdown in Italy.Sustainable cities and society · 2021Article
- Machine Learning on the COVID-19 Pandemic, Human Mobility and Air Quality: A Review.IEEE access : practical innovations, open solutions · 2021Article
- Lock or Down: Effectiveness of Isolation Measures Against COVID-19.Clinics (Sao Paulo, Brazil) · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The spread of SARS-COV-2 has affected many economic and social systems. This paper aims at estimating the impact on regional productive systems in Italy of the interplay between the epidemic and the mobility restriction measures put in place to contain the contagion. We focus then on the economic consequences of alternative lockdown lifting schemes. We leverage a massive dataset of human mobility which describes daily movements of over four million individuals in Italy and we model the epidemic spreading through a metapopulation SIR model, which provides the fraction of infected individuals in each Italian district. To quantify economic backslashes this information is combined with socio-economic data. We then carry out a scenario analysis to model the transition to a post-lockdown phase and analyze the economic outcomes derived from the interplay between (a) the timing and intensity of the release of mobility restrictions and (b) the corresponding scenarios on the severity of virus transmission rates. Using a simple model for the spreading disease and parsimonious assumptions on the relationship between the infection and the associated economic backlashes, we show how different policy schemes tend to induce heterogeneous distributions of losses at the regional level depending on mobility restrictions. Our work shed lights on how recovery policies need to balance the interplay between mobility flows of disposable workers and the diffusion of contagion.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.