ArticleInternational journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases2020
A single holiday was the turning point of the COVID-19 policy of Israel.
Article in International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.
- Evidence of the effectiveness of travel-related measures during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic: a rapid systematic review.BMJ global health · 2021Pooled it
- Impact of COVID-19 on refractive amblyopia risk factors in 5-years-old children: A nationwide cross sectional study.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2026Article
- The impact of the COVID 19 pandemic on myopia prevalence in 5 year old Israeli children.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Characteristics and Motivational Factors of Whole Blood and Convalescent Plasma Donors during the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic in Israel.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Public holidays increased the transmission of COVID-19 in Japan, 2020-2021: a mathematical modelling study.Epidemiology and health · 2024Article
- Unravelling the effect of New Year's Eve celebrations on SARS-CoV-2 transmission.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Timing, extent and outcomes of public health measures in the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Israel and a comparative analysis by socioeconomic indices.Israel journal of health policy research · 2023Article
- Preschool Teachers' Psychological Distress and Work Engagement during COVID-19 Outbreak: The Protective Role of Mindfulness and Emotion Regulation.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Rapid antigen testing as a reactive response to surges in nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 outbreak risk.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Article
- Fueling the Covid-19 pandemic: summer school holidays and incidence rates in German districts.Journal of public health (Oxford, England) · 2021Article
- A nationwide analysis of population group differences in the COVID-19 epidemic in Israel, February 2020-February 2021.The Lancet regional health. Europe · 2021Article
- Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on stress and emotional reactions in Israel: a mixed-methods study.International health · 2021Article
- Population Mobility Trends, Deprivation Index and the Spatio-Temporal Spread of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in Ireland.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- Linked transmission chains of imported SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.351 across mainland France, January 2021.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2021Article
- Epidemiological model for the inhomogeneous spatial spreading of COVID-19 and other diseases.PloS one · 2021Article
- Superspreading and heterogeneity in transmission of SARS, MERS, and COVID-19: A systematic review.Computational and structural biotechnology journal · 2021Review
- The basic reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 in Wuhan is about to die out, how about the rest of the World?Reviews in medical virology · 2020Review
- Risk and Protective Factors in the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Rapid Evidence Map.Frontiers in public health · 2020Article
- A novel IDEA: The impact of serial interval on a modified-Incidence Decay and Exponential Adjustment (m-IDEA) model for projections of daily COVID-19 cases.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesDespite an initial success, Israel's quarantine-isolation COVID-19 policy has abruptly collapsed. This study's aim is to identify the causes that led to this exponential rise in the accumulation of confirmed cases.
methodsEpidemiological investigation reports were used to reconstruct chains of transmission as well as assess the net contribution of local infections relative to imported cases, infected travelers arriving from abroad. A mathematical model was implemented in order to describe the efficiency of the quarantine-isolation policy and the inflow of imported cases. The model's simulations included two scenarios for the actual time series of the symptomatic cases, providing insights into the conditions that lead to the abrupt change.
resultsThe abrupt change followed a Jewish holiday, Purim, in which many public gatherings were held. According to the first scenario, the accumulation of confirmed cases before Purim was driven by imported cases resulting in a controlled regime, with an effective reproduction number, R
conclusionsA general lesson for health policymakers should be that even a short lapse in public responsiveness can lead to dire consequences.
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