Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33045034›Full record

ArticlePloS one2020

The contribution of specific non-communicable diseases to the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goal 3.4 in Peru.

Rodrigo M Carrillo-Larco, James E Bennett, Mariachiara Di Cesare, Edward W Gregg, Antonio Bernabe-Ortiz

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  3. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Rodrigo M Carrillo-LarcoDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
James E BennettDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Mariachiara Di CesareMiddlesex University, London, United Kingdom.
Edward W GreggDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Antonio Bernabe-OrtizCRONICAS Centre of Excellence in Chronic Diseases, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru.ORCID 0000-0002-6834-1376
Imperial College London · GBUniversidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia · PEMiddlesex University · GB

Funding

Wellcome Trust 100693/Z/12/ZWellcome Trust 214185/Z/18/ZWellcome Trust 294834/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNon-communicable diseases (NCDs) have received political attention and commitment, yet surveillance is needed to measure progress and set priorities. Building on global estimates suggesting that Peru is not on target to meet the Sustainable Development Goal 3.4, we estimated the contribution of various NCDs to the change in unconditional probability of dying from NCDs in 25 regions in Peru.

methodsUsing national death registries and census data, we estimated the unconditional probability of dying between ages 30 and 69 from any and from each of the following NCDs: cardiovascular, cancer, diabetes, chronic respiratory diseases and chronic kidney disease. We estimated the contribution of each NCD to the change in the unconditional probability of dying from any of these NCDs between 2006 and 2016.

resultsThe overall unconditional probability of dying improved for men (21.4%) and women (23.3%). Cancer accounted for 10.9% in men and 13.7% in women of the overall reduction; cardiovascular diseases also contributed substantially: 11.3% in men) and 9.8% in women. Consistently in men and women and across regions, diabetes moved in the opposite direction of the overall reduction in the unconditional probability of dying from any selected NCD. Diabetes contributed a rise in the unconditional probability of 3.6% in men and 2.1% in women.

conclusionsAlthough the unconditional probability of dying from any selected NCD has decreased, diabetes would prevent Peru from meeting international targets. Policies are needed to prevent diabetes and to strengthen healthcare to avoid diabetes-related complications and delay mortality.

Indexed as

Sustainable DevelopmentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes MellitusFemaleHumansLife ExpectancyMaleMiddle AgedMortalityNeoplasmsPeruPrognosisRenal Insufficiency, Chronic

Identifiers

PMID33045034
PMCPMC7549811
OpenAlexW3091821511

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.