Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33038637›Full record

ArticleDrug and alcohol dependence2020

Steep increases in fentanyl-related mortality west of the Mississippi River: Recent evidence from county and state surveillance.

Chelsea L Shover, Titilola O Falasinnu, Candice L Dwyer, Nayelie Benitez Santos, Nicole J Cunningham, Rohan B Freedman, Noel A Vest, Keith Humphreys

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug and alcohol dependence, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 98 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
98citing papers in PubMed
19.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

98 citing papers in PubMed, 167 citations in OpenAlex.

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38 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Chelsea L ShoverDept of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University School of Medicine, 401 Quarry Rd., Stanford, CA, 94305, USA. Electronic address: clshover@stanford.edu.
Titilola O FalasinnuDept of Health Research and Policy, Stanford University School of Medicine, 150 Governor's Ln., Stanford, CA, 94305, USA. Electronic address: lola.falasinnu@stanford.edu.
Candice L DwyerDept of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University School of Medicine, 401 Quarry Rd., Stanford, CA, 94305, USA; Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, 795 Willow Rd., Menlo Park, CA, 94025, USA. Electronic address: cldwyer@vt.edu.
Nayelie Benitez SantosDept of Epidemiology, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, USA. Electronic address: nayelieyb@ucla.edu.
Nicole J CunninghamHealth Services, Los Angeles LGBT Center, Los Angeles, CA, 90028, USA. Electronic address: ncunningham@lalgbtcenter.org.
Rohan B FreedmanBrown University, Providence, RI, 02912, USA. Electronic address: rohan_freedman@brown.edu.
Noel A VestDept of Anesthesiology, Perioperative, and Pain Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, 94304, USA. Electronic address: noelvest@stanford.edu.
Keith HumphreysDept of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University School of Medicine, 401 Quarry Rd., Stanford, CA, 94305, USA; Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, 795 Willow Rd., Menlo Park, CA, 94025, USA. Electronic address: knh@stanford.edu.
Stanford Medicine · USVA Palo Alto Health Care System · USBrown University · USLos Angeles LGBT Center · USStanford University · USUniversity of California, Los Angeles · US

Funding

Interdisciplinary Research Training in Pain and Substance Use DisordersT32DA035165 · NIDA · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI SEAN C MACKEY · 2013 to 2026
$7.2M
NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA035165
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOverdose deaths from synthetic opioids (e.g., fentanyl) increased 10-fold in the United States from 2013 to 2018, despite such opioids being rare in illicit drug markets west of the Mississippi River. Public health professionals have feared a "fentanyl breakthrough" in western U.S. drug markets could further accelerate overdose mortality. We evaluated the number and nature of western U.S. fentanyl deaths using the most recent data available.

methodsWe systematically searched jurisdictions west of the Mississippi River for publicly available data on fentanyl-related deaths since 2018, the most recent Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) statistics. Using mortality data from 2019 and 2020, we identified changes in fentanyl-related mortality rate and proportion of fatal heroin-, stimulant, and prescription pill overdoses involving fentanyl.

resultsSeven jurisdictions had publicly available fentanyl death data through December 2019 or later: Arizona; California; Denver County, CO; Harris County, TX; King County, WA; Los Angeles County, CA; and Dallas-Fort Worth, TX (Denton, Johnson, Parker, and Tarrant counties). All reported increased fentanyl deaths over the study period. Their collective contribution to national synthetic narcotics mortality increased 371 % from 2017 to 2019. Available 2020 data shows a 63 % growth in fentanyl-mortality over 2019. Fentanyl-involvement in heroin, stimulant, and prescription pill deaths has substantially grown. DISCUSSION: Fentanyl has spread westward, increasing deaths in the short-term and threatening to dramatically worsen the nation's already severe opioid epidemic in the long-term. Increasing the standard dose of naloxone, expanding Medicaid, improving coverage of addiction treatment, and public health educational campaigns should be prioritized.

Indexed as

Population SurveillanceAnalgesics, OpioidDrug OverdoseFemaleFentanylHeroinHumansIllicit DrugsLocal GovernmentLongitudinal StudiesMaleOpioid-Related DisordersState GovernmentUnited StatesAnalgesics, OpioidFentanylHeroinIllicit DrugsCocaineFentanylHeroinMethamphetamineMortalityOverdoseStimulantsSurveillanceSynthetic opioids

Identifiers

PMID33038637
PMCPMC7521591
OpenAlexW3090555497

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.