Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33031427›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2020

What do we know about SARS-CoV-2 transmission? A systematic review and meta-analysis of the secondary attack rate and associated risk factors.

Wee Chian Koh, Lin Naing, Liling Chaw, Muhammad Ali Rosledzana, Mohammad Fathi Alikhan, Sirajul Adli Jamaludin, Faezah Amin, Asiah Omar, Alia Shazli, Matthew Griffith and 2 more

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 126 papers, 12 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
126citing papers in PubMed, 12 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

126 citing papers in PubMed, 12 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. The role of children in household transmission of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022
    Pooled it
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  9. Measures implemented in the school setting to contain the COVID-19 pandemicThe Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2022
    Pooled it
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  12. Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Setting-specific Transmission Rates: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
    Pooled it
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66 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Wee Chian KohCentre for Strategic and Policy Studies, Brunei Darussalam, Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei.ORCID 0000-0001-8710-5427
Lin NaingPAPRSB Institute of Health Sciences, Universiti Brunei Darussalam, Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei.
Liling ChawPAPRSB Institute of Health Sciences, Universiti Brunei Darussalam, Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei.
Muhammad Ali RosledzanaDisease Control Division, Ministry of Health, Brunei Darussalam, Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei.
Mohammad Fathi AlikhanDisease Control Division, Ministry of Health, Brunei Darussalam, Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei.
Sirajul Adli JamaludinDisease Control Division, Ministry of Health, Brunei Darussalam, Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei.
Faezah AminDisease Control Division, Ministry of Health, Brunei Darussalam, Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei.
Asiah OmarDisease Control Division, Ministry of Health, Brunei Darussalam, Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei.
Alia ShazliDisease Control Division, Ministry of Health, Brunei Darussalam, Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei.
Matthew GriffithWestern Pacific Regional Office (Manila), World Health Organization, Manila, Philippines.
Roberta PastoreWestern Pacific Regional Office (Manila), World Health Organization, Manila, Philippines.ORCID 0000-0002-4110-774X
Justin WongDisease Control Division, Ministry of Health, Brunei Darussalam, Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei.ORCID 0000-0002-8850-2739

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionCurrent SARS-CoV-2 containment measures rely on controlling viral transmission. Effective prioritization can be determined by understanding SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analyses of the secondary attack rate (SAR) in household and healthcare settings. We also examined whether household transmission differed by symptom status of index case, adult and children, and relationship to index case.

methodsWe searched PubMed, medRxiv, and bioRxiv databases between January 1 and July 25, 2020. High-quality studies presenting original data for calculating point estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were included. Random effects models were constructed to pool SAR in household and healthcare settings. Publication bias was assessed by funnel plots and Egger's meta-regression test.

results43 studies met the inclusion criteria for household SAR, 18 for healthcare SAR, and 17 for other settings. The pooled household SAR was 18.1% (95% CI: 15.7%, 20.6%), with significant heterogeneity across studies ranging from 3.9% to 54.9%. SAR of symptomatic index cases was higher than asymptomatic cases (RR: 3.23; 95% CI: 1.46, 7.14). Adults showed higher susceptibility to infection than children (RR: 1.71; 95% CI: 1.35, 2.17). Spouses of index cases were more likely to be infected compared to other household contacts (RR: 2.39; 95% CI: 1.79, 3.19). In healthcare settings, SAR was estimated at 0.7% (95% CI: 0.4%, 1.0%). DISCUSSION: While aggressive contact tracing strategies may be appropriate early in an outbreak, as it progresses, measures should transition to account for setting-specific transmission risk. Quarantine may need to cover entire communities while tracing shifts to identifying transmission hotspots and vulnerable populations. Where possible, confirmed cases should be isolated away from the household.

Indexed as

AdultBetacoronavirusChildCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19Disease SusceptibilityFamilyHealth PersonnelHumansPandemicsPneumonia, ViralQuarantineRisk FactorsSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID33031427
PMCPMC7544065

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.