Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33025281›Full record

ArticleJournal of cancer research and clinical oncology2021

A prediction model to evaluate the pretest risk of malignancy in solitary pulmonary nodules: evidence from a large Chinese southwestern population.

Zuohong Wu, Tingting Huang, Shiqi Zhang, Deyun Cheng, Weimin Li, Bojiang Chen

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of cancer research and clinical oncology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Zuohong WuDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, No. 37, Guo Xue Alley, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China.
Tingting HuangDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, No. 37, Guo Xue Alley, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China.
Shiqi ZhangDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, No. 37, Guo Xue Alley, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China.
Deyun ChengDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, No. 37, Guo Xue Alley, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China.
Weimin LiDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, No. 37, Guo Xue Alley, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China.
Bojiang ChenDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, No. 37, Guo Xue Alley, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China. cjhcbj@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4882-9817
Sichuan University · CN

Funding

National Key R&D Program of China 2018YFC1311900National Natural Science Foundation of China 91859203, 81871890the Key Program from the Department of Science and Technology, Sichuan Province, China 2017SZ0052
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeLung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death and there have been clinical prediction models. This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of published models and create new models to evaluate the probability of malignant solitary pulmonary nodules (SPNs) in Chinese population.

methodsWe consecutively enrolled 2061 patients with SPNs from West China Hospital between January 2008 and December 2016, each SPN was pathologically confirmed. First, four published prediction models, Mayo clinic model, Veterans Affairs (VA) model, Brock model and People's Hospital of Peking University (PEH) model were validated in our patients. Then, utilizing logistic regression, decision tree and random forest (RF), we developed three new models and internally validated them.

resultsArea under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values of four published models were as follows: Mayo 0.705 (95% CI 0.658-0.752, n = 726), VA 0.64 6 (95% CI 0.598-0.695, n = 800), Brock 0.575 (95% CI 0.502-0.648, n = 550) and PEH 0.675 (95% CI 0.627-0.723, n = 726). Logistic regression model, decision tree model and RF model were developed, AUC values of these models were 0.842 (95% CI 0.778-0.906), 0.734 (95% CI 0.647-0.821), 0.851 (95% CI 0.789-0.914), respectively.

conclusionThe four published lung cancer prediction models do not apply to our population, and we have established new models that can be used to predict the probability of malignant SPNs.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAsian PeopleChinaFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLung NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSolitary Pulmonary NoduleChinese populationLung cancerPrediction modelSolitary pulmonary nodule

Identifiers

PMID33025281
PMCPMC11801961
OpenAlexW3092148129

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.