Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33020651›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2020

Crowding and the shape of COVID-19 epidemics.

Benjamin Rader, Samuel V Scarpino, Anjalika Nande, Alison L Hill, Ben Adlam, Robert C Reiner, David M Pigott, Bernardo Gutierrez, Alexander E Zarebski, Munik Shrestha and 6 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 133 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
133citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

133 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Pooled it
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73 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Benjamin Rader *Computational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6095-0193
Samuel V Scarpino *Network Science Institute, Northeastern University, Boston MA, USA. s.scarpino@northeastern.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5716-2770
Anjalika NandeProgram for Evolutionary Dynamics, Harvard University, Cambridge MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1726-6633
Alison L HillProgram for Evolutionary Dynamics, Harvard University, Cambridge MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6583-3623
Ben AdlamProgram for Evolutionary Dynamics, Harvard University, Cambridge MA, USA.
Robert C ReinerDepartment of Health Metrics, University of Washington, Seattle WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1056-7919
David M PigottDepartment of Health Metrics, University of Washington, Seattle WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6731-4034
Bernardo GutierrezDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9220-2739
Alexander E ZarebskiDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Munik ShresthaNetwork Science Institute, Northeastern University, Boston MA, USA.
John S BrownsteinComputational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8568-5317
Marcia C CastroDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4606-2795
Christopher DyeDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2957-1793
Huaiyu TianState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China.
Oliver G PybusDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. oliver.pybus@zoo.ox.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8797-2667
Moritz U G KraemerDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. moritz.kraemer@zoo.ox.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8838-7147

Funding

Quantification and prediction of treatment efficacy for HIV cure strategiesDP5OD019851 · OD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI HILL, ALISON LYNN · 2014 to 2018
$2.1M
NIH HHS DP5 OD019851
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is straining public health systems worldwide, and major non-pharmaceutical interventions have been implemented to slow its spread

Indexed as

CrowdingPandemicsChinaCitiesContact TracingCOVID-19DemographyDisease OutbreaksForecastingGeographyHuman ActivitiesHumansPhysical DistancingPopulation DensityPublic PolicySARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID33020651

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.