Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33020598›Full record

ArticleNature ecology & evolution2020

Plant traits alone are poor predictors of ecosystem properties and long-term ecosystem functioning.

Fons van der Plas, Thomas Schröder-Georgi, Alexandra Weigelt, Kathryn Barry, Sebastian Meyer, Adriana Alzate, Romain L Barnard, Nina Buchmann, Hans de Kroon, Anne Ebeling and 23 more

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 53 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
53citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

53 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Using resurvey data to predict changes in ecosystem functioning across protected and unprotected coastal dunes.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026
    Article
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  11. The Response of the Functional Traits ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
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  20. Toward a metabolic theory of catchments: Scaling of water and carbon fluxes with size.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

33 authors.

Fons van der Plas *Systematic Botany and Functional Biodiversity, Life Science, Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany. fonsvanderplas@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4680-543X
Thomas Schröder-Georgi *Systematic Botany and Functional Biodiversity, Life Science, Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany.
Alexandra WeigeltSystematic Botany and Functional Biodiversity, Life Science, Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6242-603X
Kathryn BarrySystematic Botany and Functional Biodiversity, Life Science, Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6893-6479
Sebastian MeyerTerrestrial Ecology Research Group, School of Life Sciences Weihenstephan, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0833-1472
Adriana AlzateGerman Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research, Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.
Romain L BarnardAgroécologie, AgroSup Dijon, INRA, Université Bourgogne, Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté, Dijon, France.
Nina BuchmannETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0826-2980
Hans de KroonDepartment of Experimental Plant Ecology, Institute for Water and Wetland Research, Radboud University Nijmegen, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6151-3561
Anne EbelingInstitute of Ecology and Evolution, University Jena, Jena, Germany.
Nico EisenhauerGerman Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research, Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0371-6720
Christof EngelsHumboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Markus FischerInstitute of Plant Sciences, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Gerd GleixnerMax Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4616-0953
Anke HildebrandtGerman Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research, Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8643-1634
Eva Koller-FranceGeoecology, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany.
Sophia LeimerInstitute of Geography and Geoecology, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany.
Alexandru MilcuEcotron Européen de Montpellier, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Montferrier-sur-Lez, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2889-1234
Liesje MommerPlant Ecology and Nature Conservation group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, the Netherlands.
Pascal A NiklausDepartment of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2360-1357
Yvonne OelmannGeoecology, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3513-6568
Christiane RoscherGerman Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research, Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9301-7909
Christoph ScherberInstitute of Landscape Ecology, University of Münster, Münster, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7924-8911
Michael Scherer-LorenzenGeobotany, Faculty of Biology, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9566-590X
Stefan ScheuCentre of Biodiversity and Sustainable Land Use, University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4350-9520
Bernhard SchmidDepartment of Geography, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8430-3214
Ernst-Detlef SchulzeMax Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany.
Vicky TempertonLeuphana University Lüneburg, Institute of Ecology, Universitätsallee 1, Lüneburg, Germany.
Teja TscharntkeAgroecology, Dept. of Crop Sciences, University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.
Winfried VoigtInstitute of Ecology and Evolution, University Jena, Jena, Germany.
Wolfgang WeisserTerrestrial Ecology Research Group, School of Life Sciences Weihenstephan, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2757-8959
Wolfgang WilckeInstitute of Geography and Geoecology, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6031-4613
Christian WirthSystematic Botany and Functional Biodiversity, Life Science, Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Earth is home to over 350,000 vascular plant species that differ in their traits in innumerable ways. A key challenge is to predict how natural or anthropogenically driven changes in the identity, abundance and diversity of co-occurring plant species drive important ecosystem-level properties such as biomass production or carbon storage. Here, we analyse the extent to which 42 different ecosystem properties can be predicted by 41 plant traits in 78 experimentally manipulated grassland plots over 10 years. Despite the unprecedented number of traits analysed, the average percentage of variation in ecosystem properties jointly explained was only moderate (32.6%) within individual years, and even much lower (12.7%) across years. Most other studies linking ecosystem properties to plant traits analysed no more than six traits and, when including only six traits in our analysis, the average percentage of variation explained in across-year levels of ecosystem properties dropped to 4.8%. Furthermore, we found on average only 12.2% overlap in significant predictors among ecosystem properties, indicating that a small set of key traits able to explain multiple ecosystem properties does not exist. Our results therefore suggest that there are specific limits to the extent to which traits per se can predict the long-term functional consequences of biodiversity change, so that data on additional drivers, such as interacting abiotic factors, may be required to improve predictions of ecosystem property levels.

Indexed as

EcosystemPlantsBiodiversityBiomassCarbonCarbon

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.