Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33017050›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Geriatrics Society2021

Low Vitamin D Levels and Risk of Incident Delirium in 351,000 Older UK Biobank Participants.

Luke C Pilling, Lindsay C Jones, Jane A H Masoli, João Delgado, Janice L Atkins, Jack Bowden, Richard H Fortinsky, George A Kuchel, David Melzer

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. A simulation study comparing anticholinergic drug use with polypharmacy for risk of death, dementia, and delirium in UK Biobank.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2025
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  15. APOE e4 Genotypes Increase Risk of Delirium During COVID-19-Related Hospitalizations: Evidence From a Large UK Cohort.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2022
    Article
  16. Association of Poor Sleep Burden in Middle Age and Older Adults With Risk for Delirium During Hospitalization.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2022
    Article
  17. Observational
  18. Review
  19. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Luke C PillingEpidemiology & Public Health Group, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3332-8454
Lindsay C JonesEpidemiology & Public Health Group, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Jane A H MasoliEpidemiology & Public Health Group, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
João DelgadoEpidemiology & Public Health Group, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1648-871X
Janice L AtkinsEpidemiology & Public Health Group, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Jack BowdenExeter Diabetes Group (ExCEED), College of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Richard H FortinskyUConn Center on Aging, University of Connecticut, Farmington, Connecticut, USA.
George A KuchelUConn Center on Aging, University of Connecticut, Farmington, Connecticut, USA.
David MelzerEpidemiology & Public Health Group, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
University of Exeter · GBUniversity of Connecticut · US

Funding

Supplement to Network for Investigation of Delirium across the U.S (NIDUS)R24AG054259 · NIA · HEBREW REHABILITATION CENTER FOR AGED · PI INOUYE, SHARON K. · 2016 to 2020
$4.3M
Department of Health DRF-2014-07-177Department of Health PB-PG-1215-20022Medical Research Council MC_PC_17228Medical Research Council MC_QA137853Medical Research Council MC_UU_00011/2Medical Research Council MR/M008924/1Medical Research Council MR/M023095/1NIA NIH HHS NIA R24AG054259 - NIDUS subaward 9581NIA NIH HHS R24 AG054259
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

objectivesDelirium is common in older adults, especially following hospitalization. Because low vitamin D levels may be associated with increased delirium risk, we aimed to determine the prognostic value of blood vitamin D levels, extending our previous genetic analyses of this relationship.

designProspective cohort analysis.

settingCommunity-based cohort study of adults from 22 cities across the United Kingdom (the UK Biobank).

participantsAdults aged 60 and older by the end of follow-up in the linked hospital inpatient admissions data, up to 14 years after baseline (n = 351,320). MEASUREMENTS: At baseline, serum vitamin D (25-OH-D) levels were measured. We used time-to-event models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between vitamin D deficiency and incident hospital-diagnosed delirium, adjusted for age, sex, assessment month, assessment center, and ethnicity. We performed Mendelian randomization genetic analysis in European participants to further investigate vitamin D and delirium risk.

resultsA total of 3,634 (1.03%) participants had at least one incident hospital-diagnosed delirium episode. Vitamin D deficiency (<25 nmol/L) predicted a large incidence in delirium (HR = 2.49; 95% CI = 2.24-2.76; P = 3*10

conclusionProgressively lower vitamin D levels predicted increased risks of incident hospital-diagnosed delirium, and genetic evidence supports a shared causal pathway. Because low vitamin D levels are simple to detect and inexpensive and safe to correct, an intervention trial to confirm these results is urgently needed.

Indexed as

DeliriumVitamin D DeficiencyAgedBiological Specimen BanksCausalityCohort StudiesFemaleGeriatric AssessmentHospitalizationHumansIncidenceMaleMendelian Randomization AnalysisPredictive Value of TestsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsVitamin Dbiomarkerdeliriumgeneticrisk factorvitamin D

Identifiers

PMID33017050
PMCPMC7902418
OpenAlexW3090811311

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.