Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33015425›Full record

ArticleInfectious Disease Modelling2020

Modelling the dynamics of exchanged novel coronavirus (2019-nCov) between regions in terms of time and space.

Massimo Fioranelli, Maria Grazia Roccia, A Beesham

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Infectious Disease Modelling, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.1field-weighted citation impact, top 55% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Massimo FioranelliIstituto Terapie Sistemiche Integrate, Via Flaminia 449, 00181, Rome, Italy.
Maria Grazia RocciaIstituto Terapie Sistemiche Integrate, Via Flaminia 449, 00181, Rome, Italy.
A BeeshamFaculty of Natural Sciences, Mangosuthu University of Technology, P O Box 12363, Umlazi, 4026, South Africa.
Mangosuthu University of Technology · ZA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

To date, many models have been proposed which estimate the transmission risk of COVID-19 in terms of time; however, its dependency on space dimensions has been ignored. In this research, by multiplying risk parameters in certain regions and bridging, we obtain a stable action, which means that the transmission risk worldwide could shrink to a constant. Thus, by increasing the risk parameters in one region, the risk parameters in other regions decrease. Then, by adding space dimensions to the parameters in transmission risk models, and using the wave equations of manifolds for the regions, we obtain the dynamics of the exchanged novel coronavirus (2019-nCov) between countries. We calculate the risk factors of COVID19 for different regions in this model, and observe that they are in good agreement with experimental data.

Indexed as

COVID19RegionSpaceTimeTransmission risk

Identifiers

PMID33015425
PMCPMC7518201
OpenAlexW3087925845

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.