Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33011662›Full record

Observational studyDrug and alcohol dependence2020

All-cause mortality among males living with and without HIV initiating long-term opioid therapy, and its association with opioid dose, opioid interruption and other factors.

K S Gordon, A Manhapra, S Crystal, J Dziura, E J Edelman, M Skanderson, R D Kerns, A C Justice, J Tate, W C Becker

Open access · greenAbstract readComparative StudyMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Drug and alcohol dependence, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. CDC Clinical Practice Guideline for Prescribing Opioids for Pain - United States, 2022.MMWR. Recommendations and reports : Morbidity and mortality weekly report. Recommendations and reports · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

K S GordonVA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, United States; Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States. Electronic address: kirsha.gordon2@va.gov.
A ManhapraDepartment of Psychiatry, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States; Integrative Pain Recovery Service, Hampton VA Medical Center, Hampton, VA, United States; Departments of Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation and Psychiatry, Eastern Virginia Medical School, Norfolk, VA, United States.
S CrystalRutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, United States.
J DziuraYale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, United States.
E J EdelmanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States.
M SkandersonVA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, United States.
R D KernsDepartment of Psychiatry, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States; Department of Neurology, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States.
A C JusticeVA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, United States; Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States; Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, United States.
J TateVA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, United States; Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States.
W C BeckerVA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, United States; Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States.
Yale University · USVA Connecticut Healthcare System · USRutgers, The State University of New Jersey · US

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Alcohol Associated Outcomes Among HIV+/-Aging VeteransU01AA013566 · NIAAA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI JUSTICE, AMY CAROLINE · 2002 to 2005
$10.1M
Alcohol and Multisubstance Use in the Veterans Aging Cohort StudyU01AA020790 · NIAAA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI JUSTICE, AMY CAROLINE · 2011 to 2020
$7.7M
Sex Disparities in Overall Response to ART Among HIV Infected IndividualsU24AA020794 · NIAAA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI JUSTICE, AMY CAROLINE · 2011 to 2020
$5.5M
Integrated Stepped Care for Unhealthy Alcohol Use in HIVU01AA020795 · NIAAA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI FIELLIN, DAVID · 2011 to 2020
$5.2M
Translational Research on Alcohol, Immunodeficiency, and Aging In COMpAAASU24AA022001 · NIAAA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI BRANDT, CYNTHIA A. · 2012 to 2020
$3.2M
Consortium to improve Outcomes in HIV/AIDS, Alcohol, Aging & multi-Substance useU01AA020799 · NIAAA · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI BRAITHWAITE, RONALD SCOTT · 2011 to 2020
$2.1M
Minority Populations Resource CoreU24AA022000 · NIAAA · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI OPERARIO, DON · 2012 to 2015
$1.9M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIAAA NIH HHS U01 AA013566NIAAA NIH HHS U01 AA020790NIAAA NIH HHS U01 AA020795NIAAA NIH HHS U01 AA020799NIAAA NIH HHS U24 AA020794NIAAA NIH HHS U24 AA022000NIAAA NIH HHS U24 AA022001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile the relationship between long-term opioid therapy (LTOT) dose and overdose is well-established, LTOT's association with all-cause mortality is less understood, especially among people living with HIV (PLWH). There is also limited information regarding the association of LTOT cessation or interruption with mortality.

methodsAmong PLWH and matched uninfected male veterans in care, we identified those who initiated LTOT. Using time-updated cox regression, we examined the association between all-cause mortality, unnatural death, and overdose, and opioid use categorized as 1-20 (reference group), 21-50, 51-90, and ≥ 91 mg morphine equivalent daily dose (MEDD).

resultsThere were 22,996 patients on LTOT, 6,578 (29 %) PLWH and 16,418 (71 %) uninfected. Among 5,222 (23 %) deaths, 12 % were unnatural deaths and 6 % overdoses. MEDD was associated with risk of all 3 outcomes; compared to patients on 1-20 mg MEDD, adjusted risk for all-cause mortality monotonically increased (Hazard Ratios (HR) [95 % CI] for 21-50 mg MEDD = 1.36 [1.21, 1.52], 51-90 mg MEDD = 2.06 [1.82, 2.35], and ≥ 91 mg MEDD = 3.03 [2.71, 3.39]). Similar results were seen in models stratified by HIV. LTOT interruption was also associated with all-cause, unnatural, and overdose mortality (HR [95 % CI] 2.30 [2.09, 2.53], 1.47 [1.13, 1.91] and 1.52 [1.04, 2.23], respectively).

conclusionsAmong PLWH and uninfected patients on LTOT we observed a strong dose-response relationship with all 3 mortality outcomes. Opioid risk mitigation approaches should be expanded to address the potential effects of higher dose on all-cause mortality in addition to unnatural and overdose fatalities.

Indexed as

VeteransAdultAnalgesics, OpioidCause of DeathCohort StudiesDrug PrescriptionsFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedMortalityOpiate OverdoseProportional Hazards ModelsProspective StudiesAnalgesics, OpioidHIVLong-term opioid therapyMortalityOverdose

Identifiers

PMID33011662
PMCPMC7644145
OpenAlexW3087723427

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.