ArticleHealth & place2020
Community venue exposure risk estimator for the COVID-19 pandemic.
Article in Health & place, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed, 29 citations in OpenAlex.
- Mapping the pandemic: a review of Geographical Information Systems-based spatial modeling of Covid-19.Journal of public health in Africa · 2023Article
- Exposure to infection when accessing groceries reveals racial and socioeconomic inequities in navigating the pandemic.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Research Progress and Improvement Ideas of Anti-Epidemic Resilience in China's Urban Communities.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Review
- Assessment of community vulnerability during the COVID-19 pandemic: Hong Kong as a case study.International journal of applied earth observation and geoinformation : ITC journal · 2022Article
- Exploring the spatial disparity of home-dwelling time patterns in the USA during the COVID-19 pandemic via Bayesian inference.Transactions in GIS : TG · 2022Article
- Entrepreneurial Interventions for crisis management: Lessons from the Covid-19 Pandemic's impact on entrepreneurial ventures.International journal of disaster risk reduction : IJDRR · 2022Article
- Covid-19 Exposure Assessment Tool (CEAT): Easy-to-use tool to quantify exposure based on airflow, group behavior, and infection prevalence in the community.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2022Article
- A Novel Predictor for Micro-Scale COVID-19 Risk Modeling: An Empirical Study from a Spatiotemporal Perspective.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- A review of GIS methodologies to analyze the dynamics of COVID-19 in the second half of 2020.Transactions in GIS : TG · 2021Review
- Exploring the impacts of travel-implied policy factors on COVID-19 spread within communities based on multi-source data interpretations.Health & place · 2021Article
- Touch-Point Detection Using Thermal Video With Applications to Prevent Indirect Virus Spread.IEEE journal of translational engineering in health and medicine · 2021Article
- A Proactive Approach to Identify the Exposure Risk to COVID-19: Validation of the Pandemic Risk Exposure Measurement (PREM) Model Using Real-World Data.Risk management and healthcare policy · 2021Article
- The exposure risk to COVID-19 in most affected countries: A vulnerability assessment model.PloS one · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Complexities of virus genotypes and the stochastic contacts in human society create a big challenge for estimating the potential risks of exposure to a widely spreading virus such as COVID-19. To increase public awareness of exposure risks in daily activities, we propose a birthday-paradox-based probability model to implement in a web-based system, named COSRE (community social risk estimator) and make in-time community exposure risk estimation during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. We define exposure risk to mean the probability of people meeting potential cases in public places such as grocery stores, gyms, libraries, restaurants, coffee shops, offices, etc. Our model has three inputs: the real-time number of active and asymptomatic cases, the population in local communities, and the customer counts in the room. With COSRE, possible impacts of the pandemic can be explored through spatiotemporal analysis, e.g., a variable number of people may be projected into public places through time to assess changes of risk as the pandemic unfolds. The system has potential to advance understanding of the true exposure risks in various communities. It introduces an objective element to plan, prepare and respond during a pandemic. Spatial analysis tools are used to draw county-level exposure risks of the United States from April 1 to July 15, 2020. The correlation experiment with the new cases in the next two weeks shows that the risk estimation model offers promise in assisting people to be more precise about their personal safety and control of daily routine and social interaction. It can inform business and municipal COVID-19 policy to accelerate recovery.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.