Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33010409›Full record

ArticleClinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association2021

Liver Stiffness by Magnetic Resonance Elastography Predicts Future Cirrhosis, Decompensation, and Death in NAFLD.

Tolga Gidener, Omar T Ahmed, Joseph J Larson, Kristin C Mara, Terry M Therneau, Sudhakar K Venkatesh, Richard L Ehman, Meng Yin, Alina M Allen

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 57 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
57citing papers in PubMed, 8 pooled it
9.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

57 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 108 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. Noninvasive Tests for Predicting Decompensation in Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease: A Comprehensive Review.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
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  15. [Non-invasive evaluation and prediction of portal hypertension: focusing on disease progression and outcome].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Tolga GidenerDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Omar T AhmedDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Joseph J LarsonDivision of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Kristin C MaraDivision of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Terry M TherneauDivision of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Sudhakar K VenkateshDepartment of Radiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Richard L EhmanDepartment of Radiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Meng YinDepartment of Radiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Alina M AllenDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota. Electronic address: allen.alina@mayo.edu.
Mayo Clinic · USMayo Clinic in Arizona · US

Funding

Comprehensive noninvasive assessment of liver histopathology in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) via magnetic resonance imaging, cytometry and elastography (MR-ICE)R01EB017197 · NIBIB · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI YIN, MENG · 2014 to 2025
$4.3M
Magnetic Resonance ElastographyR37EB001981 · NIBIB · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI EHMAN, RICHARD L. · 2016 to 2025
$4.0M
Magnetic Resonance ElastographyR01EB001981 · NIBIB · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI EHMAN, RICHARD L. · 2003 to 2013
$3.1M
Assessment of Alcoholic Hepatitis with Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance ElastographyUH3AA026887 · NIAAA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI SHAH, VIJAY H., YIN, MENG · 2020 to 2022
$1.1M
Noninvasive detection of NASH by magnetic resonance elastography (MRE)K23DK115594 · NIDDK · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI ALLEN, ALINA M · 2018 to 2022
$846k
Noninvasive assessment of alcoholic hepatitis effects in promoting age-related cognitive decline with multiparametric magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) imagingUH2AA026887 · NIAAA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI SHAH, VIJAY H., YIN, MENG · 2018 to 2019
$653k
NIAAA NIH HHS UH2 AA026887NIAAA NIH HHS UH3 AA026887NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB001981NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB017197NIBIB NIH HHS R37 EB001981NIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK115594
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesMagnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is the most accurate method of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We aimed to investigate the role of MRE in the prediction of hard outcomes in NAFLD. METHODS AND

resultsAdults with NAFLD who underwent MRE between 2007 and 2019 at Mayo Clinic, Rochester were identified. Cox regression analyses were used to explore the predictive role of baseline LSM for 1) development of cirrhosis in noncirrhotic NAFLD and 2) development of liver decompensation or death in those with compensated cirrhosis. A total of 829 NAFLD subjects (54% women, median age 58 years) were identified. Of 639 subjects without cirrhosis, 20 developed cirrhosis after a median follow-up of 4 years. Baseline LSM was predictive of future cirrhosis development: age-adjusted HR = 2.93 (95% CI, 1.86-4.62, p <.0001) per 1 kPa increment (C-statistic = 0.86). Baseline LSM by MRE can be used to guide timing of longitudinal noninvasive monitoring: 5, 3 and 1 years for LSM of 2, 3 and 4-5 kPa, respectively. Of 194 subjects with compensated cirrhosis, 81 developed decompensation or death after a median follow-up of 5 years. Baseline LSM was predictive of future decompensation or death: HR = 1.32 (95% CI, 1.13-1.56, p = .0007) per 1 kPa increment after adjusting for age, sex and MELD-Na. The 1-year probability of future decompensation or death in cirrhosis with baseline LSM of 5 kPa vs 8 kPa is 9% vs 20%, respectively.

conclusionIn NAFLD, LSM by MRE is a significant predictor of future development of cirrhosis. These data expand the role of MRE in clinical practice beyond the estimation of liver fibrosis and provide important evidence that improves individualized disease monitoring and patient counseling.

Indexed as

Elasticity Imaging TechniquesNon-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseAdultFemaleHumansLiver CirrhosisMaleMiddle AgedBiomarkersMonitoringNASHOutcomeProgression

Identifiers

PMID33010409
PMCPMC9096913
OpenAlexW3091738006

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.