ArticleChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)2020
COVID-19 in the United States: Trajectories and second surge behavior.
Article in Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.
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Who cites it
20 citing papers in PubMed.
- Local Clustering for Functional Data.Journal of computational and graphical statistics : a joint publication of American Statistical Association, Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Interface Foundation of North America · 2025Article
- Geographic disparities in COVID-19 testing and outcomes in Florida.BMC public health · 2023Article
- COVID-19 waves: variant dynamics and control.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Living at High Altitude and COVID-19 Mortality in Peru.High altitude medicine & biology · 2022Article
- Comparing the dynamics of COVID-19 infection and mortality in the United States, India, and Brazil.Physica D. Nonlinear phenomena · 2022Article
- Early identification of patients admitted to hospital for covid-19 at risk of clinical deterioration: model development and multisite external validation study.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2022Article
- Inference on the dynamics of COVID-19 in the United States.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Iterative data-driven forecasting of the transmission and management of SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 using social interventions at the county-level.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Harnessing Artificial Intelligence to assess the impact of nonpharmaceutical interventions on the second wave of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 pandemic across the world.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Race, ethnicity and mortality in the United States during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic: an assessment.Discover social science and health · 2022Article
- Estimating a continuously varying offset between multivariate time series with application to COVID-19 in the United States.The European physical journal. Special topics · 2022Article
- Collective correlations, dynamics, and behavioural inconsistencies of the cryptocurrency market over time.Nonlinear dynamics · 2022Article
- Social stress drives the multi-wave dynamics of COVID-19 outbreaks.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Using hierarchical clustering analysis to evaluate COVID-19 pandemic preparedness and performance in 180 countries in 2020.BMJ open · 2021Article
- Trends in COVID-19 prevalence and mortality: A year in review.Physica D. Nonlinear phenomena · 2021Article
- Effects of government policies on the spread of COVID-19 worldwide.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Association mining based approach to analyze COVID-19 response and case growth in the United States.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Country transition index based on hierarchical clustering to predict next COVID-19 waves.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Dynamics, behaviours, and anomaly persistence in cryptocurrencies and equities surrounding COVID-19.Physica A · 2021Article
- Association between COVID-19 cases and international equity indices.Physica D. Nonlinear phenomena · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
This paper introduces a mathematical framework for determining second surge behavior of COVID-19 cases in the United States. Within this framework, a flexible algorithmic approach selects a set of turning points for each state, computes distances between them, and determines whether each state is in (or over) a first or second surge. Then, appropriate distances between normalized time series are used to further analyze the relationships between case trajectories on a month-by-month basis. Our algorithm shows that 31 states are experiencing second surges, while four of the 10 largest states are still in their first surge, with case counts that have never decreased. This analysis can aid in highlighting the most and least successful state responses to COVID-19.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.