Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33000171›Full record

ArticleThe journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences2021

Quantifying the Predictive Performance of Objectively Measured Physical Activity on Mortality in the UK Biobank.

Andrew Leroux, Shiyao Xu, Prosenjit Kundu, John Muschelli, Ekaterina Smirnova, Nilanjan Chatterjee, Ciprian Crainiceanu

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In one paragraph

Article in The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Andrew LerouxDepartment of Biostatistics, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland.
Shiyao XuDepartment of Biostatistics, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland.
Prosenjit KunduDepartment of Biostatistics, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland.
John MuschelliDepartment of Biostatistics, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland.
Ekaterina SmirnovaDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Medicine, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond.
Nilanjan ChatterjeeDepartment of Biostatistics, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland.
Ciprian CrainiceanuDepartment of Biostatistics, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland.

Funding

EPIDEMIOLOGY AND BIOSTATISTICS OF AGINGT32AG000247 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Karen J. Bandeen-Roche · 1996 to 2026
$13.2M
Statistical Methods for Multilevel Multivariate Functional StudiesR01NS060910 · NINDS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Ciprian M Crainiceanu · 2009 to 2026
$8.3M
Institutional Career Development CoreKL2TR002648 · NCATS · VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH UNIVERSITY · PI NANASINKAM, SERGE PATRICK, SANYAL, ARUN J · 2018 to 2022
$3.7M
Medical Research Council MC_PC_17228Medical Research Council MC_QA137853NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR002648NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000247NIA NIH HHS T32AG000247NIH HHS R01NS060910NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS060910
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundObjective measures of physical activity (PA) derived from wrist-worn accelerometers are compared with traditional risk factors in terms of mortality prediction performance in the UK Biobank.

methodA subset of participants in the UK Biobank study wore a tri-axial wrist-worn accelerometer in a free-living environment for up to 7 days. A total of 82 304 individuals over the age of 50 (439 707 person-years of follow-up, 1959 deaths) had both accelerometry data that met specified quality criteria and complete data on a set of traditional mortality risk factors. Predictive performance was assessed using cross-validated Concordance (C) for Cox regression models. Forward selection was used to obtain a set of best predictors of mortality.

resultsIn univariate Cox regression, age was the best predictor of all-cause mortality (C = 0.681) followed by 12 PA predictors, led by minutes of moderate-to-vigorous PA (C = 0.661) and total acceleration (C = 0.661). Overall, 16 of the top 20 predictors were objective PA measures (C = 0.578-0.661). Using a threshold of 0.001 improvement in Concordance, the Concordance for the best model that did not include PA measures was 0.735 (9 covariates) compared with 0.748 (12 covariates) for the best model with PA variables (p-value < .001).

conclusionsObjective measures of PA derived from accelerometry outperform traditional predictors of all-cause mortality in the UK Biobank except age and substantially improve the prediction performance of mortality models based on traditional risk factors. Results confirm and complement previous findings in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES).

Indexed as

AccelerometryExercisePhysical Functional PerformanceAgedAge FactorsFemaleFitness TrackersHumansMaleMiddle AgedMortalityNutrition SurveysOutcome Assessment, Health CarePredictive Value of TestsProportional Hazards ModelsRisk AssessmentExerciseLongevityPhysical activity

Identifiers

PMID33000171
PMCPMC8277083

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.