ArticlePloS one2020
Preparing for the future: The changing demographic composition of hospital patients in Denmark between 2013 and 2050.
Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 45 citations in OpenAlex.
- Intravascular imaging vs. angiography alone to guide percutaneous coronary intervention in older adults: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.Coronary artery disease · 2026Pooled it
- Efficacy and safety of Tranexamic acid use on postoperative blood transfusion in hip fracture patients- a systematic review and meta-analysis.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2025Pooled it
- Here it is everything at once: a qualitative study of district nurses' experiences caring for older individuals with multiple chronic health problems in primary care.BMC primary care · 2026Article
- Communication strategies amongst healthcare professionals, patients and caregivers in Hospital-at-Home Admission Avoidance models for acutely ill older adults: a scoping review.European geriatric medicine · 2026Review
- Geographic Disparities in Access to Glaucoma Surgery: Lessons from a Nationwide Registry Study.Journal of clinical medicine · 2026Article
- To sit or not to sit? A Danish mixed-methods study of a bedside sitting-intervention among cardiological patients.International journal of nursing studies advances · 2026Article
- Advancing a patient-centered and holistic approach for older patients with frailty in a vascular surgical department: a quality improvement initiative.European geriatric medicine · 2026Article
- Improving care for older patients living with frailty: a collaborative approach to creating the DANFRAIL quality database.European geriatric medicine · 2026Article
- Feasibility of micro-costing for hospital-at-home in Danish municipalities: a prospective pilot study.BMJ open · 2025Article
- Prognosis of Nonagenarian ICU Patients A Bayesian analysis of prospective European studies.Annals of intensive care · 2025Article
- Validation of point-of-care tests used at in-home assessments among older adults in primary care.Scandinavian journal of primary health care · 2025Article
- Enhancing ward rounds for older patients with frailty: a modified Delphi process.BMC medical education · 2025Article
- Knowledge of aging, attitudes toward older people and willingness to engage in geriatric rehabilitation among rehabilitation students in southwestern China: a cross-sectional study.BMC medical education · 2024Article
- Observational
- Article
- Modelling the effect of demographic change and healthcare infrastructure on the patient structure in German hospitals - a longitudinal national study based on official hospital statistics.BMC health services research · 2023Article
- Twenty-Three-Year Trends in the Use of Potentially Nephrotoxic Drugs in Denmark.Clinical epidemiology · 2023Article
- Older patients acutely admitted and readmitted to the same geriatric department: a descriptive cohort study of primary diagnoses and health characteristics.European geriatric medicine · 2022Article
- Association of the Tilburg Frailty Indicator with mortality, readmission, and healthcare contacts in adult patients with multimorbidity.Journal of multimorbidity and comorbidityArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundPopulation aging will pose huge challenges for healthcare systems and will require a promotion of positive attitudes towards older people and the encouragement of careers in geriatrics to attract young professionals into the field and to meet the needs of a rapidly growing number of old-aged patients. We describe the current demographic profile of hospital care use in Denmark and make projections for changes in the patient profile up to 2050.
methodsThe Danish population in 2013 (N = 5.63 million) was followed up for inpatient and emergency admissions recorded in Danish hospitals in 2013 using population-based registers. We combined age- and sex-specific hospital care use in 2013 with official population estimates to forecast the profile of hospital days up to 2050 with respect to age and sex.
resultsThe total number of hospital days per year is projected to increase by 42% between 2013 and 2050, from 4.66 to 6.72 million days. While small changes are projected for the population aged 0-69, the largest change is projected to occur for the population aged 70+. The 2013 levels were 0.82 and 0.93 million days for men and women aged 70+, respectively. By 2050, these levels are projected to have reached 1.94 and 1.84 million days. While the population aged 70+ accounted for 37.5% of all days in 2013, its contribution is projected to increase to 56.2% by 2050.
conclusionOur study shows one possible scenario for changes in the hospital days due to population aging by 2050: Assuming no changes in hospital care use over the forecast period, the absolute contribution of individuals aged 70+ to the total hospital days will more than double, and the relative contribution of persons aged 70+ will account for nearly 60% of all hospital days by 2050, being largest among men.
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