Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32997182›Full record

ArticleEuropean radiology2021

Lung cancer screening by nodule volume in Lung-RADS v1.1: negative baseline CT yields potential for increased screening interval.

Mario Silva, Gianluca Milanese, Stefano Sestini, Federica Sabia, Colin Jacobs, Bram van Ginneken, Mathias Prokop, Cornelia M Schaefer-Prokop, Alfonso Marchianò, Nicola Sverzellati and 1 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European radiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05766046 (Early Diagnosis of Lung Cancer of the Italian Pulmonary Screening Network), which is not on this map. Cited by 24 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05766046 naactive not recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

Early Diagnosis of Lung Cancer of the Italian Pulmonary Screening Network (RISP): Comparative Analysis for the Use of Low Dose Computed Tomography and Promotion of Primary Prevention Interventions in Subjects at High Risk for Lung Cancer

TypeinterventionalSponsorUgo PastorinoRan2022 to 2026Enrolled7,324ConditionsLung Cancer, COPD (Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) With Acute Lower Respiratory Infection, Cardiovascular DiseasesArmsearly lung cancer detection, blood test
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 37 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Mario SilvaSection of Radiology (Pad. Barbieri), Unit of Surgical Sciences, Department of Medicine and Surgery (DiMeC), University Hospital of Parma, University of Parma, Via Gramsci 14, 43126, Parma, Italy. mario.silva@unipr.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2538-7032
Gianluca MilaneseSection of Radiology (Pad. Barbieri), Unit of Surgical Sciences, Department of Medicine and Surgery (DiMeC), University Hospital of Parma, University of Parma, Via Gramsci 14, 43126, Parma, Italy.
Stefano SestiniDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Federica SabiaDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Colin JacobsDepartment of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Bram van GinnekenDepartment of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Mathias ProkopDepartment of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Cornelia M Schaefer-ProkopDepartment of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Alfonso MarchianòDepartment of Radiology, IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Nicola SverzellatiSection of Radiology (Pad. Barbieri), Unit of Surgical Sciences, Department of Medicine and Surgery (DiMeC), University Hospital of Parma, University of Parma, Via Gramsci 14, 43126, Parma, Italy.
Ugo PastorinoDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori · ITRadboud University Nijmegen · NLUniversity of Parma · IT

Funding

Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro AIRC 2004 IG 1227 and AIRC 5xmille IG 12162Fondazione Cariplo (IT) 2004-1560Ministero della Salute RF 2004Regione Lombardia 2006-1688
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe 2019 Lung CT Screening Reporting & Data System version 1.1 (Lung-RADS v1.1) introduced volumetric categories for nodule management. The aims of this study were to report the distribution of Lung-RADS v1.1 volumetric categories and to analyse lung cancer (LC) outcomes within 3 years for exploring personalized algorithm for lung cancer screening (LCS).

methodsSubjects from the Multicentric Italian Lung Detection (MILD) trial were retrospectively selected by National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) criteria. Baseline characteristics included selected pre-test metrics and nodule characterization according to the volume-based categories of Lung-RADS v1.1. Nodule volume was obtained by segmentation with dedicated semi-automatic software. Primary outcome was diagnosis of LC, tested by univariate and multivariable models. Secondary outcome was stage of LC. Increased interval algorithms were simulated for testing rate of delayed diagnosis (RDD) and reduction of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) burden.

resultsIn 1248 NLST-eligible subjects, LC frequency was 1.2% at 1 year, 1.8% at 2 years and 2.6% at 3 years. Nodule volume in Lung-RADS v1.1 was a strong predictor of LC: positive LDCT showed an odds ratio (OR) of 75.60 at 1 year (p < 0.0001), and indeterminate LDCT showed an OR of 9.16 at 2 years (p = 0.0068) and an OR of 6.35 at 3 years (p = 0.0042). In the first 2 years after negative LDCT, 100% of resected LC was stage I. The simulations of low-frequency screening showed a RDD of 13.6-21.9% and a potential reduction of LDCT burden of 25.5-41%.

conclusionsNodule volume by semi-automatic software allowed stratification of LC risk across Lung-RADS v1.1 categories. Personalized screening algorithm by increased interval seems feasible in 80% of NLST eligible. KEY POINTS: • Using semi-automatic segmentation of nodule volume, Lung-RADS v1.1 selected 10.8% of subjects with positive CT and 96.87 relative risk of lung cancer at 1 year, compared to negative CT. • Negative low-dose CT by Lung-RADS v1.1 was found in 80.6% of NLST eligible and yielded 40 times lower relative risk of lung cancer at 2 years, compared to positive low-dose CT; annual screening could be preference sensitive in this group. • Semi-automatic segmentation of nodule volume and increased screening interval by volumetric Lung-RADS v1.1 could retrospectively suggest a 25.5-41% reduction of LDCT burden, at the cost of 13.6-21.9% rate of delayed diagnosis.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerLung NeoplasmsHumansItalyLungMass ScreeningRetrospective StudiesTomography, X-Ray ComputedDiagnostic screening programsLung neoplasmsLung volume measurementsSolitary pulmonary noduleVolume computed tomography

Identifiers

PMID32997182
PMCPMC7979670
OpenAlexW3091082583

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.