Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32997047›Full record

ArticleRevista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical2020

Exploring local and global regression models to estimate the spatial variability of Zika and Chikungunya cases in Recife, Brazil.

Rafael Silva Dos Anjos, Ranyére Silva Nóbrega, Henrique Dos Santos Ferreira, António Pais de Lacerda, Nuno de Sousa-Neves

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Rafael Silva Dos AnjosUniversidade Federal de Pernambuco, Departamento de Ciências Geográficas, Recife, PE, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4540-9531
Ranyére Silva NóbregaUniversidade Federal de Pernambuco, Departamento de Ciências Geográficas, Recife, PE, Brasil.
Henrique Dos Santos FerreiraUniversidade Federal de Pernambuco, Departamento de Ciências Geográficas, Recife, PE, Brasil.
António Pais de LacerdaUniversity of Lisbon, Department of Medicine, Lisbon, Portugal.
Nuno de Sousa-NevesUniversity of Évora, Department of Landscape, Environment and Planning, Évora, Portugal.
Universidade Federal de Pernambuco · BRUniversity of Évora · PTUniversity of Lisbon · PT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionIn this study, we aim to compare spatial statistic models to estimate the spatial distribution of Zika and Chikungunya infections in the city of Recife, Brazil. We also aim to establish the relationship between the diseases and the analyzed geographical conditions.

methodsThe models were defined by combining three categories: type of spatial unit, calculation of the dependent variable format, and estimation methods (Geographical Weighted Regression [GWR] and Ordinary Least Square [OLS]). We identified the most accurate model to estimate the spatial distribution of the diseases. After selecting the model that provided best results, the relationship between the geographical conditions and the incidence of the diseases was analyzed.

resultsIt was observed that the matrix of 100 meters (as the spatial unit) showed the highest efficiency to estimate the diseases. The best results were observed in the models that utilized the kernel density estimation (as the calculation of the dependent variable). In all models, the GWR method showed the best results. By considering the OLS coefficient values, it was observed that all geographical conditions are related to the incidence of Zika and Chikungunya, while the GWR coefficient values showed where this relationship was more noticeable.

conclusionsThe model that utilized the combination of the matrix of 100 meters, kernel density estimation (as the calculation of the dependent variable) and GWR method showed the highest efficiency in estimating the spatial distribution of the diseases. The coefficient values showed that all analyzed geographical conditions are related to the illnesses' incidence.

Indexed as

Chikungunya FeverZika VirusZika Virus InfectionBrazilHumansRegression AnalysisSpatial Analysis

Identifiers

PMID32997047
PMCPMC7523520
OpenAlexW3087959103

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.