Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32995870›Full record

ArticleEuropace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology2020

Screening for atrial fibrillation: predicted sensitivity of short, intermittent electrocardiogram recordings in an asymptomatic at-risk population.

Giorgio Quer, Ben Freedman, Steven R Steinhubl

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
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  5. Diagnostic reliability of monitoring for premature atrial and ventricular complexes.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
    Article
  6. The feasibility of population screening for paroxysmal atrial fibrillation using hand-held electrocardiogram devices.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
    Article
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  14. A Comprehensive Explanation Framework for Biomedical Time Series Classification.IEEE journal of biomedical and health informatics · 2021
    Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Atrial fibrillation: villain or bystander in vascular brain injury.European heart journal supplements : journal of the European Society of Cardiology · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Giorgio QuerScripps Research Translational Institute, 3344 North Torrey Pines Court, Plaza Level, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.
Ben FreedmanHeart Research Institute, Heart Rhythm and Stroke Group, 7 Eliza St Newtown, Sydney, NSW 2043, Australia.
Steven R SteinhublScripps Research Translational Institute, 3344 North Torrey Pines Court, Plaza Level, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.
Scripps Institution of Oceanography · USThe University of Sydney · AU

Funding

Scripps Translational Science InstituteUL1TR002550 · NCATS · SCRIPPS RESEARCH INSTITUTE, THE · PI TOPOL, ERIC JEFFREY · 2018 to 2022
$28.9M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002550
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsScreening for asymptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF) could prevent strokes and save lives, but the AF burden of those detected can impact prognosis. New technologies enable continuous monitoring or intermittent electrocardiogram (ECG) snapshots, however, the relationship between AF detection rates and the burden of AF found with intermittent strategies is unknown. We simulated the likelihood of detecting AF using real-world 2-week continuous ECG recordings and developed a generalizable model for AF detection strategies. METHODS AND

resultsFrom 1738 asymptomatic screened individuals, ECG data of 69 individuals (mean age 76.3, median burden 1.9%) with new AF found during 14 days continuous monitoring were used to simulate 30 seconds ECG snapshots one to four times daily for 14 days. Based on this simulation, 35-66% of individuals with AF would be detected using intermittent screening. Twice-daily snapshots for 2 weeks missed 48% of those detected by continuous monitoring, but mean burden was 0.68% vs. 4% in those detected (P < 0.001). In a cohort of 6235 patients (mean age 69.2, median burden 4.6%) with paroxysmal AF during clinically indicated monitoring, simulated detection rates were 53-76%. The Markovian model of AF detection using mean episode duration and mean burden simulated actual AF detection with ≤9% error across the range of screening frequencies and durations.

conclusionUsing twice-daily ECG snapshots over 2 weeks would detect only half of individuals discovered to have AF by continuous recordings, but AF burden of those missed was low. A model predicting AF detection, validated using real-world data, could assist development of optimized AF screening programmes.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationStrokeAgedElectrocardiographyElectrocardiography, AmbulatoryHumansMass ScreeningRisk FactorsAsymptomaticAtrial fibrillationECGScreening

Identifiers

PMID32995870
PMCPMC7758473
OpenAlexW3089442018

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.