Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32993676›Full record

ArticlePopulation health metrics2020

Trends in prevalence, mortality, and morbidity associated with high systolic blood pressure in Brazil from 1990 to 2017: estimates from the "Global Burden of Disease 2017" (GBD 2017) study.

Bruno Ramos Nascimento, Luísa Campos Caldeira Brant, Simon Yadgir, Gláucia Maria Moraes Oliveira, Gregory Roth, Scott Devon Glenn, Meghan Mooney, Mohsen Naghavi, Valéria Maria Azeredo Passos, Bruce Bartholow Duncan and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Population health metrics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  5. Article
  6. A global prediction of cardiovascular disease from 2020 to 2030.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2025
    Article
  7. Integrative and complementary healthcare practices for hypertension: a summary of recommended clinical guidelines.Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil · 2025
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Cardiovascular Statistics - Brazil 2021.Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia · 2022
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Observational
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Bruno Ramos NascimentoFaculdade de Medicina, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil. ramosnas@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-5586-774X
Luísa Campos Caldeira BrantFaculdade de Medicina, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil.
Simon YadgirInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Gláucia Maria Moraes OliveiraFaculdade de Medicina, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.
Gregory RothInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Scott Devon GlennInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Meghan MooneyInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Mohsen NaghaviInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Valéria Maria Azeredo PassosFaculdade Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil.
Bruce Bartholow DuncanPrograma de Pós-graduação em Epidemiologia e Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil.
Diego Augusto Santos SilvaFederal University of Santa Catarina, Research Center in Kinanthropometry and Human Performance, Florianópolis, SC, Brazil.
Deborah Carvalho MaltaEscola de Enfermagem, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil.
Antonio Luiz Pinho RibeiroFaculdade de Medicina, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHypertension remains the leading risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) worldwide, and its impact in Brazil should be assessed in order to better address the issue. We aimed to describe trends in prevalence and burden of disease attributable to high systolic blood pressure (HSBP) among Brazilians ≥ 25 years old according to sex and federal units (FU) using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 estimates.

methodsWe used the comparative risk assessment developed for the GBD study to estimate trends in attributable deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALY), by sex, and FU for HSBP from 1990 to 2017. This study included 14 HSBP-outcome pairs. HSBP was defined as ≥ 140 mmHg for prevalence estimates, and a theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL) of 110-115 mmHg was considered for disease burden. We estimated the portion of deaths and DALYs attributed to HSBP. We also explored the drivers of trends in HSBP burden, as well as the correlation between disease burden and sociodemographic development index (SDI).

resultsIn Brazil, the prevalence of HSBP is 18.9% (95% uncertainty intervals [UI] 18.5-19.3%), with an annual 0.4% increase rate, while age-standardized death rates attributable to HSBP decreased from 189.2 (95%UI 168.5-209.2) deaths to 104.8 (95%UI 94.9-114.4) deaths per 100,000 from 1990 to 2017. In spite of that, the total number of deaths attributable to HSBP increased 53.4% and HSBP raised from 3rd to 1st position, as the leading risk factor for deaths during the period. Regarding total DALYs, HSBP raised from 4th in 1990 to 2nd cause in 2017. The main driver of change of HSBP burden is population aging. Across FUs, the reduction in the age-standardized death rates attributable to HSBP correlated with higher SDI.

conclusionsWhile HSBP prevalence shows an increasing trend, age-standardized death and DALY rates are decreasing in Brazil, probably as results of successful public policies for CVD secondary prevention and control, but suboptimal control of its determinants. Reduction was more significant in FUs with higher SDI, suggesting that the effect of health policies was heterogeneous. Moreover, HSBP has become the main risk factor for death in Brazil, mainly due to population aging.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAge DistributionBlood PressureBrazilCost of IllnessFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansHypertensionLife ExpectancyMaleMiddle AgedQuality-Adjusted Life YearsResidence CharacteristicsEpidemiologyGlobal burden of diseaseHypertensionMorbidityMortality

Identifiers

PMID32993676
PMCPMC7526365

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.