Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32990156›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2020

Derivation and Validation of a Clinical Model to Predict Intensive Care Unit Length of Stay After Cardiac Surgery.

Louise Y Sun, Anan Bader Eddeen, Marc Ruel, Erika MacPhee, Thierry G Mesana

Abstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  7. Review
  8. Derivation and validation of predictive indices for 30-day mortality after coronary and valvular surgery in Ontario, Canada.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2021
    Article
  9. Derivation and validation of a clinical model to predict death or cardiac hospitalizations while on the cardiac surgery waitlist.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2021
    Article
  10. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Louise Y SunDivision of Cardiac Anesthesiology University of Ottawa Heart Institute and the School of Epidemiology and Public Health University of Ottawa Ontario Canada.
Anan Bader EddeenInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences University of Ottawa Heart Institute Ottawa Ontario Canada.
Marc RuelDivision of Cardiac Surgery University of Ottawa Heart Institute Ottawa Ontario Canada.
Erika MacPheeClinical Operations University of Ottawa Heart Institute Ottawa Ontario Canada.
Thierry G MesanaDivision of Cardiac Surgery University of Ottawa Heart Institute Ottawa Ontario Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background Across the globe, elective surgeries have been postponed to limit infectious exposure and preserve hospital capacity for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, the ramp down in cardiac surgery volumes may result in unintended harm to patients who are at high risk of mortality if their conditions are left untreated. To help optimize triage decisions, we derived and ambispectively validated a clinical score to predict intensive care unit length of stay after cardiac surgery. Methods and Results Following ethics approval, we derived and performed multicenter valida tion of clinical models to predict the likelihood of short (≤2 days) and prolonged intensive care unit length of stay (≥7 days) in patients aged ≥18 years, who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting and/or aortic, mitral, and tricuspid value surgery in Ontario, Canada. Multivariable logistic regression with backward variable selection was used, along with clinical judgment, in the modeling process. For the model that predicted short intensive care unit stay, the c-statistic was 0.78 in the derivation cohort and 0.71 in the validation cohort. For the model that predicted prolonged stay, c-statistic was 0.85 in the derivation and 0.78 in the validation cohort. The models, together termed the

Indexed as

Cardiac Surgical ProceduresClinical Decision RulesIntensive Care UnitsLength of StayAdultAgedAged, 80 and overClinical Decision-MakingFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedOntarioPredictive Value of TestsRisk AssessmentRisk Factorscardiac surgeryCOVID-19intensive carelength of stayresource utilization

Identifiers

PMID32990156
PMCPMC7763427

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.