Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32989431›Full record

ArticleBiosafety and health2021

Spatiotemporal patterns and trends of community transmission of the pandemic COVID-19 in South Asia: Bangladesh as a case study.

Ariful Islam, Md Abu Sayeed, Md Kaisar Rahman, Jinnat Ferdous, Shahanaj Shano, Shusmita Dutta Choudhury, Mohammad Mahmudul Hassan

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biosafety and health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Methods Used in the Spatial and Spatiotemporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiology: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Economic and Social Burden of Childhood Cancer in Bangladesh.Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2023
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  17. Assessment of basic reproduction number (RInfection, genetics and evolution : journal of molecular epidemiology and evolutionary genetics in infectious diseases · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Ariful IslamEcoHealth Alliance New York, NY 10001-2320, USA.
Md Abu SayeedDepartment of Medicine, Jhenaidah Government Veterinary College, Jhenaidah 7300, Bangladesh.
Md Kaisar RahmanEcoHealth Alliance New York, NY 10001-2320, USA.
Jinnat FerdousEcoHealth Alliance New York, NY 10001-2320, USA.
Shahanaj ShanoInstitute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research (IEDCR), Dhaka 1212, Bangladesh.
Shusmita Dutta ChoudhuryInstitute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research (IEDCR), Dhaka 1212, Bangladesh.
Mohammad Mahmudul HassanFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Chattogram Veterinary and Animal Sciences University, Chattogram 4225, Bangladesh.
EcoHealth Alliance · USInstitute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research · BDChattogram Veterinary and Animal Sciences University · BDDeakin University · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

South Asian (SA) countries have been fighting with the pandemic novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) since January 2020. Earlier, the country-specific descriptive study has been done. Nevertheless, as transboundary infection, the border sharing, shared cultural and behavioral practice, effects on the temporal and spatial distribution of COVID-19 in SA is still unveiled. Therefore, this study has been revealed the spatial hotspot along with descriptive output on different parameters of COVID-19 infection. We extracted data from the WHO and the worldometer database from the onset of the outbreak up to 15 May, 2020. Europe has the highest case fatality rate (CFR, 9.22%), whereas Oceania has the highest (91.15%) recovery rate from COVID-19. Among SA countries, India has the highest number of cases (85,790), followed by Pakistan (38,799) and Bangladesh (20,065). However, the number of tests conducted was minimum in this region in comparison with other areas. The highest CFR was recorded in India (3.21%) among SA countries, whereas Nepal and Bhutan had no death record due to COVID-19 so far. The recovery rate varies from 4.75% in the Maldives to 51.02% in Sri Lanka. In Bangladesh, community transmission has been recorded, and the highest number of cases were detected in Dhaka, followed by Narayanganj and Chattogram. We detected Dhaka and its surrounding six districts, namely Gazipur, Narsingdi, Narayanganj, Munshiganj, Manikganj, and Shariatpur, as the 99% confidence-based hotspot where Faridpur and Madaripur district as the 95% confidence-based spatial hotspots of COVID-19 in Bangladesh. However, we did not find any cold spots in Bangladesh. We identified three hotspots and three cold spots at different confidence levels in India. Findings from this study suggested the "Test, Trace, and Isolation" approach for earlier detection of infection to prevent further community transmission of COVID-19.

Indexed as

BangladeshCase fatality rateCommunity transmissionDhakaRiskSouth Asia

Identifiers

PMID32989431
PMCPMC7510419
OpenAlexW3087655979

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.