ArticleEmerging infectious diseases2020
Coronavirus Disease Model to Inform Transmission-Reducing Measures and Health System Preparedness, Australia.
Article in Emerging infectious diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 46 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
46 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Process Improvement Approaches for Increasing the Response of Emergency Departments against the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Pooled it
- A modular approach to forecasting COVID-19 hospital bed occupancy.Communications medicine · 2025Article
- Web-based models to inform health policy: A scoping review.Health research policy and systems · 2025Article
- COVID-19 vaccine coverage targets to inform reopening plans in a low incidence setting.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Article
- Forecasting COVID-19 activity in Australia to support pandemic response: May to October 2020.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Value of information analysis for pandemic response: intensive care unit preparedness at the onset of COVID-19.BMC health services research · 2023Article
- COVID-19 Vaccination and Healthcare Demand.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2023Article
- Predictions from standard epidemiological models of consequences of segregating and isolating vulnerable people into care facilities.PloS one · 2023Article
- Factors associated with changes in healthy lifestyle behaviors among hematological cancer patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.Frontiers in psychology · 2023Article
- Conceptual Framework for Cancer Care During a Pandemic Incorporating Evidence From the COVID-19 Pandemic.JCO global oncology · 2022Review
- Associations between the COVID-19 Pandemic and Hospital Infrastructure Adaptation and Planning-A Scoping Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Modelling SARS-CoV-2 disease progression in Australia and New Zealand: an account of an agent-based approach to support public health decision-making.Australian and New Zealand journal of public health · 2022Article
- Modeling the early transmission of COVID-19 in New York and San Francisco using a pairwise network model.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2022Article
- COVID-19 Is Not Comparable to H1N1 Influenza.Annals of the American Thoracic Society · 2022Article
- Sound Decision Making in Uncertain Times: Can Systems Modelling Be Useful for Informing Policy and Planning for Suicide Prevention?International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- COVID-19 risk perceptions and precautions among the elderly: A study of CALD adults in South Australia.F1000Research · 2022Article
- Mathematical analysis for the effect of voluntary vaccination on the propagation of Corona virus pandemic.Results in physics · 2021Article
- Optimal allocation of PCR tests to minimise disease transmission through contact tracing and quarantine.Epidemics · 2021Article
- Insecure Employment Contracts during the COVID-19 Pandemic and the Need for Participation in Policy Making.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- A Review of COVID-19 Modelling Strategies in Three Countries to Develop a Research Framework for Regional Areas.Viruses · 2021Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The ability of health systems to cope with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases is of major concern. In preparation, we used clinical pathway models to estimate healthcare requirements for COVID-19 patients in the context of broader public health measures in Australia. An age- and risk-stratified transmission model of COVID-19 demonstrated that an unmitigated epidemic would dramatically exceed the capacity of the health system of Australia over a prolonged period. Case isolation and contact quarantine alone are insufficient to constrain healthcare needs within feasible levels of expansion of health sector capacity. Overlaid social restrictions must be applied over the course of the epidemic to ensure systems do not become overwhelmed and essential health sector functions, including care of COVID-19 patients, can be maintained. Attention to the full pathway of clinical care is needed, along with ongoing strengthening of capacity.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.