Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32982079›Full record

ArticleChaos, solitons, and fractals2020

Forecasting emergency department overcrowding: A deep learning framework.

Fouzi Harrou, Abdelkader Dairi, Farid Kadri, Ying Sun

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chaos, solitons, and fractals, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

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  9. The skåne emergency medicine (SEM) cohort.Scandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Fouzi HarrouKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering (CEMSE) Division, Thuwal 23955-6900, Saudi Arabia.
Abdelkader DairiUniversity of Science and Technology of Oran-Mohamed Boudiaf (USTO-MB), Computer Science department Signal, Image and Speech Laboratory (SIMPA) laboratory, El Mnaouar, BP 1505, Bir El Djir 31000, Oran, Algeria.
Farid KadriAeroline and Customer Services, Agence 1024, Sopra Steria Group, 31770, Colomiers, France.
Ying SunKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering (CEMSE) Division, Thuwal 23955-6900, Saudi Arabia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As the demand for medical cares has considerably expanded, the issue of managing patient flow in hospitals and especially in emergency departments (EDs) is certainly a key issue to be carefully mitigated. This can lead to overcrowding and the degradation of the quality of the provided medical services. Thus, the accurate modeling and forecasting of ED visits are critical for efficiently managing the overcrowding problems and enable appropriate optimization of the available resources. This paper proposed an effective method to forecast daily and hourly visits at an ED using Variational AutoEncoder (VAE) algorithm. Indeed, the VAE model as a deep learning-based model has gained special attention in features extraction and modeling due to its distribution-free assumptions and superior nonlinear approximation. Two types of forecasting were conducted: one- and multi-step-ahead forecasting. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that the VAE is investigated to improve forecasting of patient arrivals time-series data. Data sets from the pediatric emergency department at Lille regional hospital center, France, are employed to evaluate the forecasting performance of the introduced method. The VAE model was evaluated and compared with seven methods namely Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Long short-term memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), Convolutional LSTM Network (ConvLSTM), restricted Boltzmann machine (RBM), Gated recurrent units (GRUs), and convolutional neural network (CNN). The results clearly show the promising performance of these deep learning models in forecasting ED visits and emphasize the better performance of the VAE in comparison to the other models.

Indexed as

Deep learningED demandsEmergency departmentsForecastingPatient flows

Identifiers

PMID32982079
PMCPMC7505132

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.