Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32982074›Full record

ArticleGlobal environmental change : human and policy dimensions2020

Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture and food systems: The Eur-Agri-SSPs.

Hermine Mitter, Anja-K Techen, Franz Sinabell, Katharina Helming, Erwin Schmid, Benjamin L Bodirsky, Ian Holman, Kasper Kok, Heikki Lehtonen, Adrian Leip and 11 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
9.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 107 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Benefits and trade-offs of optimizing global land use for food, water, and carbon.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
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  9. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors at 15 institutions in 10 countries.

Hermine MitterUniversity of Natural Resources and Life Sciences Vienna, BOKU, Institute for Sustainable Economic Development, Austria.
Anja-K TechenLeibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, ZALF, Germany.
Franz SinabellAustrian Institute of Economic Research, WIFO, Austria.
Katharina HelmingLeibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, ZALF, Germany.
Erwin SchmidUniversity of Natural Resources and Life Sciences Vienna, BOKU, Institute for Sustainable Economic Development, Austria.
Benjamin L BodirskyPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, PIK, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.
Ian HolmanCranfield University, UK.
Kasper KokWageningen University, WUR, Soil Geography and Landscape Group, the Netherlands.
Heikki LehtonenNatural Resources Institute Finland, LUKE, Finland.
Adrian LeipEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, VA, Italy.
Chantal Le MouëlUMR 1302 SMART-LERECO, Institut national de recherche pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement, INRAE, Rennes, Franc.
Erik MathijsUniversity of Leuven, KU Leuven, Division of Bioeconomics, Belgium.
Bano MehdiUniversity of Natural Resources and Life Sciences Vienna, BOKU, Division of Agronomy, Austria.
Klaus MittenzweiNorwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research, NIBIO, Norway.
Olivier MoraUAR 1241 DEPE, Institut national de la recherche agronomique, INRA, Paris, France.
Knut ØistadNorwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research, NIBIO, Norway.
Lillian ØygardenNorwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research, NIBIO, Norway.
Jörg A PriessHelmholtz-Centre for Environmental Research, UFZ, Germany.
Pytrik ReidsmaWageningen University, WUR, Plant Production Systems Group, the Netherlands.
Rüdiger SchaldachUniversity of Kassel, Germany.
Martin SchönhartUniversity of Natural Resources and Life Sciences Vienna, BOKU, Institute for Sustainable Economic Development, Austria.
BOKU University · ATNorwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research · NOLeibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research · DEAustrian Institute of Economic Research · ATCentre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Informations Internationales · FRCranfield University · GBEuropean Commission · BEGraduate School Experimental Plant Sciences · NLHelmholtz Centre for Environmental Research · DEInstitut National de Recherche pour l'Agriculture, l'Alimentation et l'Environnement · FRKU Leuven · BENatural Resources Institute Finland · FIPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research · DEUniversity of Kassel · DEWageningen University & Research · NL

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/N00485X/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Scenarios describe plausible and internally consistent views of the future. They can be used by scientists, policymakers and entrepreneurs to explore the challenges of global environmental change given an appropriate level of spatial and sectoral detail and systematic development. We followed a nine-step protocol to extend and enrich a set of global scenarios - the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) - providing regional and sectoral detail for European agriculture and food systems using a one-to-one nesting participatory approach. The resulting five Eur-Agri-SSPs are titled (1) Agriculture on sustainable paths, (2) Agriculture on established paths, (3) Agriculture on separated paths, (4) Agriculture on unequal paths, and (5) Agriculture on high-tech paths. They describe alternative plausible qualitative evolutions of multiple drivers of particular importance and high uncertainty for European agriculture and food systems. The added value of the protocol-based storyline development process lies in the conceptual and methodological transparency and rigor; the stakeholder driven selection of the storyline elements; and consistency checks within and between the storylines. Compared to the global SSPs, the five Eur-Agri-SSPs provide rich thematic and regional details and are thus a solid basis for integrated assessments of agriculture and food systems and their response to future socio-economic and environmental changes.

Indexed as

ConsistencyIntegrated assessmentLand useNarrativeScenarioStoryline development

Identifiers

PMID32982074
PMCPMC7501775
OpenAlexW3087450065

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.