Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32981770›Full record

ArticleSocial science & medicine (1982)2020

The trouble with trust: Time-series analysis of social capital, income inequality, and COVID-19 deaths in 84 countries.

Frank J Elgar, Anna Stefaniak, Michael J A Wohl

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Social science & medicine (1982), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 99 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
99citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

99 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Social Cohesion and COVID-19: Integrative Review.Interactive journal of medical research · 2024
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. The Politicization of the COVID-19 Pandemic.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2024
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

39 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Frank J ElgarInstitute for Health and Social Policy, McGill University, 1130 Pine Avenue West, Montreal, Quebec, Canada. Electronic address: frank.elgar@mcgill.ca.
Anna StefaniakDepartment of Psychology, Carleton University, 1125 Colonel By Drive, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. Electronic address: AnnaStefaniak@cunet.carleton.ca.
Michael J A WohlDepartment of Psychology, Carleton University, 1125 Colonel By Drive, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. Electronic address: MichaelWohl@cunet.carleton.ca.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Can social contextual factors explain international differences in the spread of COVID-19? It is widely assumed that social cohesion, public confidence in government sources of health information and general concern for the welfare of others support health advisories during a pandemic and save lives. We tested this assumption through a time-series analysis of cross-national differences in COVID-19 mortality during an early phase of the pandemic. Country data on income inequality and four dimensions of social capital (trust, group affiliations, civic responsibility and confidence in public institutions) were linked to data on COVID-19 deaths in 84 countries. Associations with deaths were examined using Poisson regression with population-averaged estimators. During a 30-day period after recording their tenth death, mortality was positively related to income inequality, trust and group affiliations and negatively related to social capital from civic engagement and confidence in state institutions. These associations held in bivariate and mutually controlled regression models with controls for population size, age and wealth. The results indicate that societies that are more economically unequal and lack capacity in some dimensions of social capital experienced more COVID-19 deaths. Social trust and belonging to groups were associated with more deaths, possibly due to behavioural contagion and incongruence with physical distancing policy. Some countries require a more robust public health response to contain the spread and impact of COVID-19 due to economic and social divisions within them.

Indexed as

PandemicsSocial CapitalAgedCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19FemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncomeMalePneumonia, ViralSocioeconomic FactorsTrustCOVID-19Income inequalityPandemicSocial capital

Identifiers

PMID32981770
PMCPMC7492158

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.