Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32980812›Full record

ReviewJournal of epidemiology and community health2020

Impact of breastfeeding, maternal antiretroviral treatment and health service factors on 18-month vertical transmission of HIV and HIV-free survival: results from a nationally representative HIV-exposed infant cohort, South Africa.

Ameena Ebrahim Goga, Carl Lombard, Debra Jackson, Vundli Ramokolo, Nobubelo Kwanele Ngandu, Gayle Sherman, Adrian Puren, Witness Chirinda, Sanjana Bhardwaj, Nobuntu Makhari and 5 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Journal of epidemiology and community health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
0.3field-weighted citation impact, top 31% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Ameena Ebrahim GogaHealth Systems Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Tygerberg, South Africa Ameena.Goga@mrc.ac.za.ORCID 0000-0002-2394-6486
Carl LombardBiostatistics Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Tygerberg, South Africa.
Debra JacksonUniversity of the Western Cape, Bellville, South Africa.
Vundli RamokoloHealth Systems Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Tygerberg, South Africa.
Nobubelo Kwanele NganduHealth Systems Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Tygerberg, South Africa.
Gayle ShermanCentre for HIV and STI, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Adrian PurenCentre for HIV and STI, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Witness ChirindaMedical Research Council of South Africa, Tygerberg, South Africa.
Sanjana BhardwajUNICEF, Abuja, Nigeria.
Nobuntu MakhariHealth Systems Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Tygerberg, South Africa.
Trisha RamrajHealth Systems Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Tygerberg, South Africa.
Vuyolwethu MagasanaHealth Systems Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Tygerberg, South Africa.
Yagespari SinghHealth Systems Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Tygerberg, South Africa.
Yogan PillayNational Department of Health, Pretoria, South Africa.
Thu-Ha DinhCenter for Global Health, CDC, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
South African Medical Research Council · ZAUniversity of the Witwatersrand · ZACenter for Global Health · USDepartment of Health · ZAUnited Nations Children's Fund · US

Funding

PS08-854, COOPERATIVE AGREEMENT TO THE MRC OF SOUTH AFRICAU2GPS001137 · PS · MEDICAL RESEARCH COUNCIL OF SOUTH AFRICA · PI BHAGWANDIN, NIRESH · 2008 to 2012
$51.1M
CGH CDC HHS U2G GH001150NCHHSTP CDC HHS U2G PS001137PEPFAR
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe analysed the impact of breastfeeding, antiretroviral drugs and health service factors on cumulative (6 weeks to 18 months) vertical transmission of HIV (MTCT) and 'MTCT-or-death', in South Africa, and compared estimates with global impact criteria to validate MTCT elimination: (1) <5% final MTCT and (2) case rate ≤50 (new paediatric HIV infections/100 000 live births).

methods9120 infants aged 6 weeks were enrolled in a nationally representative survey. Of 2811 HIV-exposed uninfected infants (HEU), 2644 enrolled into follow-up (at 3, 6, 9, 12, 15 and 18 months). Using Kaplan-Meier analysis and weighted survey domain-based Cox proportional hazards models, we estimated cumulative risk of MTCT and 'MTCT or death' and risk factors for time-to-event outcomes, adjusting for study design and loss-to-follow-up.

resultsCumulative (final) MTCT was 4.3% (95% CI 3.7% to 5.0%); case rate was 1290. Postnatal MTCT (>6 weeks to 18 months) was 1.7% (95% CI 1.2% to 2.4%). Cumulative 'MTCT-or-death' was 6.3% (95% CI 5.5% to 7.3%); 81% and 62% of cumulative MTCT and 'MTCT-or-death', respectively, occurred by 6 months. Postnatal MTCT increased with unknown maternal CD4-cell-count (adjusted HR (aHR 2.66 (1.5-5.6)), undocumented maternal HIV status (aHR 2.21 (1.0-4.7)) and exclusive (aHR 2.3 (1.0-5.2)) or mixed (aHR 3.7 (1.2-11.4)) breastfeeding. Cumulative 'MTCT-or death' increased in households with 'no refrigerator' (aHR 1.7 (1.1-2.9)) and decreased if infants used nevirapine at 6 weeks (aHR 0.4 (0.2-0.9)).

conclusionsWhile the <5% final MTCT target was met, the case rate was 25-times above target. Systems are needed in the first 6 months post-delivery to optimise HEU health and fast-track ART initiation in newly diagnosed mothers.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsBreast FeedingHIV InfectionsPregnancy Complications, InfectiousFemaleHealth ServicesHumansInfantInfectious Disease Transmission, VerticalPregnancySouth AfricaAnti-HIV Agentschild healthepidemiologyPublic health

Identifiers

PMID32980812
PMCPMC11459440
OpenAlexW3087879129

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.