Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32972408›Full record

ArticleBMC health services research2020

Analyzing the impact of a state concussion law using an autoregressive integrated moving average intervention analysis.

Lihong Huang, Lindsay Sullivan, Jingzhen Yang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC health services research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Lihong HuangDepartment of Biostatistics, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Lindsay SullivanCenter for Injury Research and Policy, The Abigail Wexner Research Institute at Nationwide Children's Hospital, 700 Children's Drive, RB3-WB5403, Columbus, OH, 43205, USA.
Jingzhen YangCenter for Injury Research and Policy, The Abigail Wexner Research Institute at Nationwide Children's Hospital, 700 Children's Drive, RB3-WB5403, Columbus, OH, 43205, USA. Ginger.Yang@NationwideChildrens.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4019-0999

Funding

NCCDPHP CDC HHS 3 R49 CE002106-05S1NCIPC CDC HHS R49 CE002106
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundExisting studies analyzing the impact of state concussion laws have found an increase in concussion-related medical encounters post-law, in some instances, such increases were observed during the pre-law period due to a potential "spillover" effect. This study assessed the effects of Ohio's concussion law, while accounting for such a "spillover" effect, on the trends in monthly rates of concussion-related medical encounters in Medicaid insured children using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) analysis.

methodsWe analyzed claim data obtained from the Partners For Kids database, a pediatric accountable care organization in Ohio. Concussion-related medical encounters for Medicaid-insured children (ages 0-18 years) treated between April 1, 2008 to December 31, 2016 were selected and analyzed. We assessed pre- and post-law trends in concussion-related medical encounters using an ARIMA intervention model. We also used traditional regression methods to validate the study results.

resultsA total of 16,943 concussion-related medical encounters sustained by 15,545 unique patients were included. Monthly rates of concussion-related medical encounters significantly increased from 4.64 per 10,000 member months during the pre-law period to 6.69 per 10,000 member months in the post-law period (P < 0.0001). Three upward breaks in the monthly rates of concussion-related medical encounters were observed between 2009 and 2016, with two breaks observed during the pre-law period. Specifically, the increased breakpoint observed in July 2011 (P = 0.0186) was significantly associated with an estimated 7.3% increase (95% CI: 1.1-13.7) in the rate of concussion-related medical encounters. This finding was confirmed in the Poisson regression and curve fitting models. Furthermore, a seasonal trend in concussion-related medical encounters was observed with the highest rates in September and October of each year.

conclusionsTwo of the three upward breaks identified in the monthly rate of concussion-related medical encounters occurred before the enactment of Ohio's concussion law, suggesting a potential "spillover" effect. Further research is needed to confirm such an effect in children with other types of medical insurance.

Indexed as

JurisprudenceAdolescentBrain ConcussionChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornInsurance Claim ReviewMaleMedicaidOhioUnited StatesARIMAChildrenConcussionIntervention time series

Identifiers

PMID32972408
PMCPMC7517644

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.