Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32970386›Full record

ArticleJournal of evaluation in clinical practice2020

Global lockdown: An effective safeguard in responding to the threat of COVID-19.

Bhupendra Kumar Verma, Mamta Verma, Vikash Kumar Verma, Rifah B Abdullah, Dilip C Nath, Hafiz T A Khan, Anita Verma, Ramesh K Vishwakarma, Vivek Verma

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of evaluation in clinical practice, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 74 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  15. Travel behaviour changes and risk perception during COVID-19: A case study of Malaysia.Transportation research interdisciplinary perspectives · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 8 institutions in 3 countries.

Bhupendra Kumar VermaBimal Chandra College of Law, West Bengal, India.
Mamta VermaDepartment of Law, Kazi Nazrul University, West Bengal, India.
Vikash Kumar VermaDepartment of Economics, Sidho-Kanho-Birsha University, West Bengal, India.
Rifah B AbdullahSchool of Psychology, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Dilip C NathAssam University, Silchar, Assam, India.
Hafiz T A KhanCollege of Nursing, Midwifery and Healthcare, University of West London, Brentford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1817-3730
Anita VermaDepartments of Neurology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, India.
Ramesh K VishwakarmaDepartment of Biostatistics, King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Vivek VermaDepartments of Neurology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, India.ORCID 0000-0003-2537-4431
Sidho-Kanho-Birsha University · INAll India Institute of Medical Sciences · INAssam University · INBidhan Chandra Krishi Viswavidyalaya · INKazi Nazrul University · INKing Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences · SAUniversity of Glasgow · GBUniversity of West London · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

RATIONALE, AIMS, AND

objectivesThe recent outbreak of coronavirus (COVID-19) has infected around 1 560 000 individuals till 10 April 2020, which has resulted in 95 000 deaths globally. While no vaccine or anti-viral drugs for COVID-19 are available, lockdown acts as a protective public health measures to reduce human interaction and lower transmission. The study aims to explore the impact of delayed planning or lack of planning for the lockdown and inadequate implementation of the lockdown, on the transmission rate of COVID-19.

methodEpidemiological data on the incidence and mortality of COVID-19 cases as reported by public health authorities were accessed from six countries based on total number of infected cases, namely, United States and Italy (more than 100 000 cases); United Kingdom, and France (50 000-100 000 cases), and India and Russia (6000-10 000 cases). The Bayesian inferential technique was used to observe the changes (three points) in pattern of number of cases on different duration of exposure (in days) in these selected countries 1 month after World Health Organization (WHO) declaration about COVID-19 as a global pandemic.

resultsOn comparing the pattern of transmission rates observed in these six countries at posterior estimated change points, it is found that partial implementation of lockdown (in the United States), delayed planning in lockdown (Russia, United Kingdom, and France), and inadequate implementation of the lockdown (in India and Italy) were responsible to the spread of infections.

conclusionsIn order to control the spreading of COVID-19, like other national and international laws, lockdown must be implemented and enforced. It is suggested that on-time or adequate implementation of lockdown is a step towards social distancing and to control the spread of this pandemic.

Indexed as

Social IsolationBayes TheoremCOVID-19Global HealthHumansIncidenceModels, BiologicalQuarantineTime Factorscredible intervalmarginal distributionposterior distributionsocial distancing

Identifiers

PMID32970386
PMCPMC7719340
OpenAlexW3087943570

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.