Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32968765›Full record

ArticleBiostatistics (Oxford, England)2022

Immune correlates analysis using vaccinees from test negative designs.

Dean A Follmann, Lori Dodd

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biostatistics (Oxford, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Dean A FollmannBiostatistics Research Branch, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Bethesda MD.
Lori DoddBiostatistics Research Branch, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Bethesda MD.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Determining the effect of vaccine-induced immune response on disease risk is an important goal of vaccinology. Typically, immune correlates analyses are conducted prospectively with immune response measured shortly after vaccination and subsequent disease status regressed on immune response. In outbreaks and rare disease settings, collecting samples from all vaccinees is not feasible. The test negative design is a retrospective design used to measure vaccine efficacy where symptomatic individuals who present at a clinic are assessed for relevant disease (cases) or some other disease (controls) and vaccination status ascertained. This article proposes that test negative vaccinees have immune response to vaccine assessed both for relevant (e.g., Ebola) and irrelevant (e.g., vector) proteins. If the latter immune response is unaffected by active (Ebola) infection, and is correlated with the relevant immune response, it can serve as a proxy for the immune response of interest proximal to infection. We show that logistic regression using imputed immune response as the covariate and case disease as outcome can estimate the prospective immune response slope and detail the assumptions needed for unbiased inference. The method is evaluated by simulation under various scenarios including constant and decaying immune response. A simulated dataset motivated by ring vaccination for an ongoing Ebola outbreak is analyzed.

Indexed as

Ebola VaccinesHemorrhagic Fever, EbolaHumansProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesVaccinationEbola VaccinesImputationLikelihood, Logisitic regressionRegression calibration

Identifiers

PMID32968765
PMCPMC9216615

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.