Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32965529›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of colorectal disease2021

Nomogram for predicting occurrence and prognosis of liver metastasis in colorectal cancer: a population-based study.

Mingshuang Tang, Hongmei Wang, Yitong Cao, Ziqian Zeng, Xuefeng Shan, Lihua Wang

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in International journal of colorectal disease, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed
5.5field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed, 79 citations in OpenAlex.

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  4. Cell competition driven by secreted ligands: Modeling liver metastasis of colorectal cancer.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Mingshuang TangEmergence Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, 76 Linjiang Road, Yuzhong District, Chongqing, 400010, China.
Hongmei WangDepartment of Pharmacy, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Yitong CaoDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Ziqian ZengDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, First Affiliated Hospital, Army Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Xuefeng ShanDepartment of Pharmacy, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Lihua WangEmergence Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, 76 Linjiang Road, Yuzhong District, Chongqing, 400010, China. 302374@hospital.cqmu.edu.cn.
Chongqing Medical University · CNFirst Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University · CNArmy Medical University · CNSecond Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University · CN

Funding

Postdoctoral Research Foundation of China 2018M643858
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThis study aimed to investigate the prevalence, risk, and prognostic factors for synchronous liver metastasis (LM) in colorectal cancer (CRC) and to construct nomogram for predicting occurrence and prognosis of synchronous LM.

methodsA total of 203,998 CRC patients who were registered in the SEER database between 2010 and 2016 were included. Logistic regression was used to analyze risk factors and Kaplan-Meier was used to estimate the overall survival of CRC patients with LM. Potential prognostic factors were identified by multivariable Cox regression. For predicting the risk for development and prognosis in CRC patients with LM, we constructed nomogram and the predictive performance was estimated by the receiver operating characteristics cure, the concordance index, and calibration curve.

resultsIn total, 15.3% of the CRC patients (N = 31,288) had synchronous LM. Male gender, black, uninsured status, left colon, T4/T1, and bone and lung metastases were positively associated with synchronous LM risk. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year overall survival rate was 49.1%, 18.4%, and 9.2%, respectively. Older age, male gender, black, uninsured status, poor histological differentiation, lymphatic metastasis, T4/T1, positive carcinoembryonic antigen, and lung, bone, and brain metastases were associated with the overall survival. Nomogram was constructed to predict the development and prognosis of synchronous LM and both of them were proved to have good calibration and discrimination.

conclusionLM is highly prevalent in CRC patients. Nomogram basing on the risk and prognostic factors for synchronous LM was proved to have good performance for predicting the probability of LM occurrence and prognosis.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsLiver NeoplasmsAgedHumansLymphatic MetastasisMaleNomogramsPrognosisColorectal cancerIncidenceLiver metastasisNomogramSEERSurvival

Identifiers

PMID32965529
OpenAlexW3088272032

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.